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More than 40 years later, it remains one of the most searing analyses we have ever encountered of the temptation to hegemony which, time and again over the last 60 years, has lured the United States into ill-conceived, highly destructive, and ultimately counterproductive foreign policies. MOVING BEYOND REGIME CHANGE IN AMERICAS MIDDLE EAST POLICY We do not believe that the United States needs regime change in Tehran to improve its relations with Iran. To do that, the United States needs to pursue smart diplomacy with the Islamic Republics current political structurediplomacy, that is, which treats the Islamic Republic as Irans legitimate government, seeking to defend and enhance Irans legitimate interests. This is something that no U. S. President since 1979not even Barack Hussein Obamahas tried to do. ASHURA IN ISTANBUL AND TEHRAN: WESTERN JOURNALISTS CONTINUE TO UNDERESTIMATE IRANS SOFT POWER We have previously warned against underestimating the extent of Irans soft power in the Arab world. But those doing the chattering would also be well advised to ponder that Americas closest Arab alliesEgypt and Saudi Arabiaare entering a period of political uncertainty because of impending changes in top-level leadership, and are, in any event, losing influence across the region (Egypt even more than Saudi Arabia, but the trend is clear in both cases). WHY SHOULD IRAN TRUST PRESIDENT OBAMA A sober examination of the Obama administrations interactions with Iran since President Obama took office in 2009 reveals a dismaying mix of incompetence and outright duplicity that has done profound damage to American interests and credibility. Video of the Leveretts on Charlie Rose Flynt Leverett and Hillary Mann Leverett appeared on The Charlie Rose Show. The Authors Flynt Leverett About Flynt Articles Prior posts Email Hillary Mann Leverett About Hillary Articles Prior posts Email Key Documents The Race for Iran HELP STOP THE NEXT 8220THREATENING STORM8221: AN END OF THE YEAR PLEA FOR RaceForIran Posted on December 28th, 2010 under general with 214 replies. It is increasingly clear that there is a campaign already ongoing in the United States to lay the ground for an eventual U. S.-Iranian military confrontation. This campaign is broadly similar to the multi-year effort that paved the way for Americas invasion of Iraq in 2003. Strikingly, the current campaign regarding Iran involves many of the same individuals, institutions, and rhetorical formulas as the pre-war build-up for Iraq. In the years and months before the United States attacked Iraq, the response of most think tanks and public intellectuals to the false and fraudulent case for war was supine, to say the least. Standing up against what became the conventional wisdom about the Iraqi threat required a willingness, early in the process, to question the fundamental assumptions that were driving policy debates and actual policy making in Washington. But the vast majority of those who should have challenged the conventional wisdom about Iraqin Congress, the media, policy research centers, etcfailed to do so. Instead, they largely bought into the conventional wisdom and, in some cases, even helped to manufacture it. We saw this play out while we were still in government. After leaving government, and watching Americas Iran debate get steered on to the same bellicose trajectory, we determined that, this time around, there would be credible voices prepared to ask hard questions and challenge conventional wisdom. That is what RaceForIran is all about. Among the things weve learned since we launched RaceForIran is that it is not easy to raise money for a project like this. If we only questioned conventional wisdom about the prospective need for U. S. military strikes against Iranian nuclear targets, there would be more funders out there willing to help us. But because we challenge the assumptions about the Islamic Republic that even many Americans opposed to U. S. military action Iran uncritically accepte. g. the 2009 presidential election was stolen, the Iranian government is a deeply unpopular dictatorship at serious risk of collapse, the Islamic Republic is too ideologically warped and/or internally divided to take strategic decisions on grounds of national interestsuperficially sympathetic funders decline to support us because, they say, they must be sensitive to the political climate. Under these circumstances, we encourage our readers to make even a token donation to support RaceForIran to keep our work going. (A relatively large number of relatively small donations can actually help bolster our case for funding from some institutional donors. PLEASE NOTE THAT WE HAVE ADDED A 20 PAYPAL OPTION ON THE SIDEBAR OF RACEFORIRAN FOR THOSE WHO CAN GIVE THAT AMOUNT. PLEASE ALSO NOTE THAT WE UNDERSTAND THAT 20 IS NOT A SMALL AMOUNT FOR MANY BUT IT IS WHAT WE CAN DO NOW WITH PAYPAL. WE ENCOURAGE AS MANY WHO CAN TO CONTRIBUTE SMALLER AMOUNTS BY CHECK. WE ARE GRATEFUL FOR ALL OF YOUR SUPPORT. At this time, we can only activate the 20 paypal button on the sidebar of RaceForIran 8216s main page, so please use that and not the 8216please donate8217 link. Thank you, again, for your support.) If you choose to donate, your tax-deductible contribution would go to the New America Foundation, not directly to the authors of the blog. Click the buttons on the sidebar of the main RaceForIran page to make a secure donation. Or, please send a check for any amount to: New America Foundation, Attention: Simone Frank (for RaceForIran), 1899 L Street, NW, Suite 400, Washington, DC, 20036 (please write for RaceForIran on the memo line of your check). As always, we are very grateful for our readers continuing attention and engagement with RaceForIran. We add our best wishes for a Happy New Year and a wonderful 2011. Flynt Leverett and Hillary Mann Leverett 8211Flynt Leverett and Hillary Mann Leverett 214 Responses to 8220HELP STOP THE NEXT 8220THREATENING STORM8221: AN END OF THE YEAR PLEA FOR RaceForIran8221 The subject we are talking about is so vast, it is like a large heap of flowers, each with different size, color and shape. We can only discuss a single one or a couple of them at the time because of many obvious limitations. One thing could make us understand each other better and better if only we can visualize and feel we are mentally and physically the other side. That is of course is, as the scientists can prove, an impossible proposition. However such an excise, depending on the power of our imagination can bring us closer towards understanding each others stands. Can I imagine I am an American (each time a different type of American) Once I am born and raised somewhere in the Religious South, another time I am a Bostonian, then again I live and think like a Mid-Westerner etc, etc, etc Can you Imagine you are an Iranian Born and raised poor or rich, Persian Azeri or Kurd, leftist or religious, zealous or indifferent, deeply hurt and humiliated by how the country is ruled by imperial foreigners or how you are fighting in the fronts of Iran-Iraq war or you are being hurt in a SAVAK prison and so on. You see how hard and complicated is the full comprehension of each other This I think by no means alleviates the nice opportunity for us to have a civil, fruitful and academic style affinity for discussing all kind of subjects regardless of how far our world-views are apart. Even though I an atheist and I sense you are a Christian we shouldnt forget we can both communicate in the same language82308230.and we have both two eyes and one heart. I would always appreciate if you, with no hesitation, correct me or criticize my World-views. James Canning says: Yes, the so-called 8220Samson option8221 is but one reason the entire world should work together to press Israel to sign the NPT and get rid of its nukes. Golda Meir was a classmate of George Kennan at elementary school in Milwaukee, Wisconsin (if I recall correctly). My original point was the irony that this 8220less lethal8221 technology had been used to kill the Palestinian protester that Fiorangela had mentioned. I agree with you that I got a bit carried away from there, for the reasons M. Ali mentioned. Pirouz, I understand Eric8217s point. He is amused by the terminology, which always tickles me too. It8217s to me like calling it the 8220Defense Department8221. Everywhere you look, there is a constant battle on people8217s minds using advertising techniques, which is why I am distraught with a lot of discussions I have with people. People talk in slogans and PR keywords as punched in their brain by such concepts. 8220Less-lethal8221 is an almost non-threatening word. But literally taken, every weapon in the world is less lethal. Just less lethal than something more lethal 8220I agree that differences in cultures and social norms help mould law. Your train example falls into this category,8221 My train example shows that culture and social norms can be in conflict with 8220equality8221. You can not have segmentation and/or segregation and claim it is equal. The rest of you debate again falls on vague notions. Bring up specific things, 8220equality8221 like 8220freedom8221 is a term that is almost completely without any real substantial meaning. It is this joke of a concept that America proudly started its independance with 8220We hold these truths to be self-evident, that all men are created equal8221 while owning slaves. We have distinctions all around us, at all times, in all societies, like freedom, a concept such as complete equality does not mean anything really. Is a girl of 8 to be treated equally to a girl of 19 Obviously not, so we treat them differently, seperated by age. The fact that Iran8217s laws does not appeal to you is perfectly fine. No laws are ever suited for everyone in the nation. But people challenge the laws and there is a change in the law when the government feels that the reform in the law best meets the nation8217s desire. Iran is great in this, as it has been a fluid nation in the last 32 years. There has been a constant change in laws. Shah8217s error was that he was too busy trying to make his country the way HE wanted it (as he imagined the western model to be the perfect model). The new government, after its revolution, has been trying to constantly change. This is your problem, you are always having broad attacks on the full Iranian system without offering anything specific. Iranian society does not believe in the non-distinction between man and woman, neither the men do, nor the women. If you believe in democracy, you should respect their wishes. And find which are the important changes as needed by the people, and try to highliht does, rather than saying 8220I believe that nothing should stand in the way of equality under the law8221. This is meaningless, what do you want exactly Iranians, for example, believe have the concept of Mehrieh. Almost all of the society, included the fashionable, western-oriented, north tehrani girls believe they should receive Mehrieh, and the government protects their right, and will take legal action against any men that is in conflict with this law. This is fine by me, its what the Iranians want, even I8217ll be the first in line to get rid of this law due to 8220unequality8221 (but actually, just because I don8217t want to pay the ridicolous Mehr demands that the girls today ask for) Sometimes, this unequality as you perceive it, provides a better life for women in terms of the culture8217s norms. Iran8217s Islamic restrictions is in line with people8217s perceptions of their expected life, so when they feel there is security for their daughters and sisters, there is less family restriction placed on them, so Iranian grils have entered college and work en masse after the revolution BECAUSE OF THE RESTRICTIONS AND BECAUSE OF THE PERCEIVED 8220UNEQUALITY8221. Be assured that if there was a western style of 8220freedom8221 in college and workforce, many families would feel uncomfortable in sending their daughters to Tehran and other cities for education. I have typed all this to show you that it real life is much more complicated than standing on a podium and shouting 8220FREEDOM FOR ALL. EQUALITY FOR ALL8221. 8220By the way, your divorce argument is flawed because you are empowering men in order to control divorce rates, and implying (among many other things) that divorce is the fault of the wife. 8221 I did not imply that, you did. 8220Right8221 not 8220Eight.8221 Eight, Eric. But those are still less-lethal loads. You need to contrast such with more typical lethal loads such as AP, HE, HEAT, WP, etc. Anyway, I8217m unclear as to the point of this discussion. Are you saying you8217re unimpressed by the less-lethal technology I will say this: after the heavy bruising inflicted upon persons by the use of rubber bullets, I haven8217t heard of their repeated use by the city of Oakland (OPD). Here in San Francisco, we rely on sophisticated caging techniques, whereupon those contained are systematically contained, arrested, removed from the scene and placed into remote detention facilities. It8217s more time consuming and expensive, but you don8217t have the press publicizing those big purple bruises on persons unlucky enough to be hit. I agree that differences in cultures and social norms help mould law. Your train example falls into this category, although there is a very thin line between 8216segmentation8217 and 8216segregation8217. Regardless, I believe that nothing should stand in the way of equality under the law. This applies to women, ethnic minorities, religious minorities, and so on. Currently in Iran, there is no equality for women under the law. The law has actually regressed since the revolution. By the way, your divorce argument is flawed because you are empowering men in order to control divorce rates, and implying (among many other things) that divorce is the fault of the wife. Equality under the law should not be viewed as an aspect of Western culture, rather it is a universal value. The way a country treats its female members of a society, like everything else we discuss, is difficult to understand, and should not be viewed only in western lenses. At a previous debate, I tried to highlight an interesting factor of Iranian segmentation that is in conflict with 8220freedom8221 but is actually preferred by women. This was the example I used: Trains are sort-of segmented in Iran. While I saw couples and a few women on the male section of the train, there was no men on the female section. I would guess that while police (and the people) might turn a blind eye on women being in the men section, they would not tolerate the men on the female section. So, while women are a sort of freedom to be part of either section, overwhelming majority went to the female section because they felt more comfortable. This included my young, modern girlfriend at the time. So, what does this show This shows that in Iran, sometimes less 8220freedom8221 in certain aspects is more desirable for the society. Why did I put freedom in brackets Because freedom is almost always a completely useless word in debates and is only good for idealistic discussions, politicians, and PR propagandas. They have no substance in real debate. In my example, there are two freedoms: 1) Men being free to be part of any section they want 2) Women wanting the freedom of having their own segregated section Both these two freedoms are in conflict, so as there is no absolute freedom, we8217ll put it aside in our discussions, and focus on whats best for the society. For example, Iranian culture is family-oriented, therefore it is the task of the government to make sure that this is preserved. It is a challenge for the government and the society, because divorce rates are rising. The divorce rate in Iran is currently average of 1 per 7 marriages, and in Tehran 1 per 3. While this is still less than the west8217s 50 divorce rate, it is moving towards it, and is a concern for the people, and this means, for the government that is in charge of providing for the people8217s needs. They will have to find ways to discourage divorces and some of these methods might be considered as infringing on people8217s 8220freedoms8221. But I would argue that the society desires that for itself, and not just some western or western-oriented people. There is no easy answer, because there is no real worldwide solution yet. If the west had found its answer, it would still not be applyable to Iran, because they have different cultures, but even if they were the same, the west HASN8217T found the answer. The current norms they have is a recent development, barely even two-three decades old. For example, while the right to owning property for women is a new development in the west, it was practiced in Islamic countries for centuries (I don8217t know if pre-Islam Iran had it too). The west is still finding its way, the collapse of the family structure, an overwhelming materialistic culture, and an increasingly ME mindset might not necessarily be the aim of the east. 8220Pak, please. You know and I know that you dont mean a word of this.8221 May I ask why not You are mistaken If you believe that I support Mousavi8217s innocence. I was being subtle by saying that Mousavi should be put to trial (as I have conceded that Professor Sahimi will not change his mind), but I am adamant that he is actually guilty. I cannot see how a prime minister of a government that commits crimes against humanity is not guilty. But, as the foundations of any society should be built on civility and not blood, I want to see Mousavi put to a fair trial. Regarding Khomeini: you are the lawyer, so you tell me whether a man can be put to trial after his death. Again, you are the lawyer, so you tell me whether the supreme leader in Iran has 8220executive8221 or 8220moral8221 authority (I am guessing he has both). If you are going to refer back to the constitution to determine the answer to this question, you should know that the constitution was amended one year after the mass executions, so refer back to the pre-amended version. Regarding women8217s rights in Iran: as I have already said, I do not have the expertise to debate such a topic. All I said before was that the law for women has regressed since the Pahlavi regime, which is true. Can you please provide evidence that women can become judges in Iran now Also, there must be a difference between constitution and legislation. You are the lawyer, so you tell me if there is any merit in referring to Iran8217s constitution to determine whether women have equal rights under the law. If you want to continue the debate, I suggest you contact one of the countless educated, motivated and fearless women8217s rights activists in Iran. 8220This is not to say that Mousavi is guilty, but he is a suspect. And as all suspects of a crime are put to trial to determine their guilt, so too should Mousavi.8221 Pak, please. You know and I know that you don8217t mean a word of this. The writer we both mentioned, and with whom you say you agree, stated unequivocally that Khomeini was guilty 8212 without any 8220trial8221 being necessary: 8220In my opinion, the criticism of Khomeini is justified on moral and historical grounds. There is no question that Khomeini was responsible for the execution of thousands of political prisoners in the 1980s, as the ultimate authority at the time.8221 As you know from the context of this statement (since you read the article), the writer was not saying that Khomeini had 8220execution8221 responsibility for any of those executions 8212 simply that Khomeini was guilty because he was 8220the ultimate authority at the time.8221 That8217s exactly what the writer described as mere 8220moral responsibility8221 8211 for which a person cannot fairly be held 8220accountable8221 when he discussed Mousavi8217s responsibility. Do you think this writer was unfair to hold Khomeini responsible for these executions, without any 8220trial8221 having occurred If not, do you think that Mousavi should also be held responsible for the very same reason, again with no trial 8220I am no expert in womens rights in Iran and neither are you. You also refer to the constitution as if it actually means something in Iran. I will leave it up to the experts to refute your somewhat ridiculous argument that women are treated equally under the law in Iran, and your lazy (bigoted) attempt to prove Iranian womens rights campaigners wrong.8221 COMMENT: I8217m certainly no expert on women8217s rights in Iran, Pak. I didn8217t think you were either, but you8217d written at such length on the subject that I thought you could explain the obvious contradictions I8217d mentioned. I8217ll wait for the 8220experts,8221 as you recommended. In the meantime, I read the article you cited. You didn8217t mention whether the author was one of the experts, but the article did report many things I hadn8217t known: QUOTATIONS FROM THE ARTICLE YOU CITED: 8220Any man is capable of keeping his wife caged in the house in case of illness can prevent her from getting treatment can take her children away, and if he desires, torture and kill her. If he has a psychological problem and suspects his wife has cheated on him, he can kill her with ease of mindDo you think the stories weve presented are unusual Unfortunately, they are not.8221 8220The age of criminal responsibility for girls is 9 lunar years (8 years and nine months) and for boys is 15 lunar years (14 years and 6 months). Thus if a 9-year-old girl committed a crime, she will be treated just as an adult would be treated with all the penal laws (even execution) applicable to her.8221 8220Women can never inherit land.8221 8220Regarding intentional killing of children, according to the law, a father and paternal grandfather will not be held responsible.8221 8220In our constitution a woman is only recognised as a citizen once she is a mother (married), therefore she has no standing as an independent person in any law derived from our constitution.8221 END OF QUOTATIONS FROM THE ARTICLE YOU CITED. Though you8217re no expert, Pak, do you know enough to say whether these assertions are correct Keep on dreaming. The fact that so many people go to the streets to protect the political order in Iran (including most of those who voted for Mousavi), despite the enormous propaganda campaign against the country, says more than enough. Prime Minister Golda Meir also told me, on-the-record during the course of an interview I did with her for the BBCs Panorama programme, that in a doomsday situation Israel would be prepared to take the region and the whole world down with it. Alan Hart in Zionism: The Real Enemy of the Jews. Dear Humanist, Thank you for your thoughtful words. I hope you understand that my words of 8220thanks8221 were intended as bitter irony. I8217m not proud of what my people have done. Your discussion of the mystical quality of Iranian culture and the Iranian people is very much appreciated I will read and re-read your words to try to understand them fully. I mention too often my brief visit to Iran I had many powerful experiences on that journey, experiences that more Americans should have 8212 especially policymakers and lawmakers. Among the experiences that left a deep impression on me was to be in a caravansarie in the middle of an otherwise barren landscape. Such places were truly life-saving to the travelers who sought the shelter, security, and hospitality within their walls. A guide explained to us that people from all over the world shared water from the well in the caravansarie rested their animals and themselves within the walls, and were able to store their goods in relative security as they rested. At night, travelers gathered in the courtyard, under the stars, and shared the stories, myths, poetry, and lore of all their diverse cultures. In Shiraz I learned that 8220Iranians revere their poets more than their kings.8221 I had perceived the 8220invisible Iranian mystical entity8221 in my Iranian friends in the US I wanted to know where that ineffable quality came from. The caravansarie answered one part of the question Shiraz and its poets 8212 as well as Naishapur, as well as the shrine to Khayyam 8212 filled in other parts. It struck me that Iran had never been strenuously 8220Christianized8221 I thought that explained why Iranians did not seem to struggle with an inherent sense of guilt8211 no 8220original sin.8221 I had the good fortune to offer the hospitality of my home to an Iranian author whose expertise is the poetry of Rumi the poem, 8220The Guest House,8221 exemplifies the 8220invisible Iranian mystical entity8221 that does NOT seek revenge or bear grievances. Part of my attempt to 8220protect8221 Iran from conquest by the US and Israel is the deep, deep desire to preserve that unique mystical entity. Certainly Hillary Clinton would run roughshod over a quality so precious, even though it is so strong she is incapable of recognizing the spiritual quality of Iranian culture. Others 8212 like Patrick Clawson 8212 would debase Iranian culture by turning it into one more American shopping center. The US needs to learn FROM Iran, rather than turn Iran into another outpost of consumer capitalism. We were able to talk with many Iranian men and women 8212 and children 8212 in Iran. They expressed their humble but firm pride in the spiritual essence of Iranian culture, and they expressed discontent with oppressive government, and with financial regulations that did not allow for as much free flow of capital as some would desire. The Iranian people are entitled to the freedom to work out their own solutions to their discontents, while preserving and protecting the soul of their culture to the extent that Iranians deem important. James Canning 8211 the breaking of Kurdistan among the four countries 8211 was a sort of venegeance against for Kurd Sultan Salahuddin Ayubi by the western colonialists. They also divided Al-Sham (Syria) into Syria, Lebanon, Jordan and Palestine. It8217s easy to subvert small states based on tribal loyalty. Iraq was occupied for the smae reasons. The Zionist plan is to split Iraq into three mini-states Sunni Iraq, Kurd Iraq and Shia Iraq. There is a two-decade Zionist plan to break-up Pakistan into four parts 8211 Pakhtoonistan to be merged with Afghanistan Balochistan under USrael protection to destablize Baloch region of Iran Sindh to India (it was part of Bombay state during British Raj). Personally, I believe that like Iranian Kurdistan, the Kurd areas under Turkey, Iraq and Syria should be given autonomy first and later let the Kurds decide whether they want to unite within an independent state or stay where they8217re now. Regard the Kurd Jews 8211 whether they8217re practicing or non-practing Jewish 8211 I will quote the Russian-Israeli born Jew, Israel Shamir 8211 who said that even though he had converted to Christianity 8211 under Jewish law (a race), he is still Jewish. I must have made a mistake, I thought I added the following paragraph to the END of my post. Somehow it appears in the wrong place. Please ignore it as the 2nd paragraph and read it as the very LAST part. 8212- There is another feature, though not quite relevant at this time yet worthy of bringing it up: The old advice is: Whenever your partner gets agitated you MUST clam down and try to calm him/her down too, after the smiles and hugging only if it is necessary and only in the right time, tell your partner WHY he/she was wrong, then you will witness the magic of how thorns morph. to flowers. 8212- Eric 8211 regarding your second question, here is the article you are referring to: Here is a comment I left on the same article: Herein lies the problem: 8220Mousavi has been criticized and attacked more than the others by some of the opposition in the diaspora, simply because he was Iran8217s prime minister for nearly eight years.8221 Being Prime Minister is not 8216simple8217. It is not a trivial position in government it is both practically and symbolically prominent, even taking into consideration the context of that era. This is not to say that Mousavi is guilty, but he is a suspect. And as all suspects of a crime are put to trial to determine their guilt, so too should Mousavi. Otherwise, this is another very interesting article. I particularly enjoyed what Homayoun said. The fact that this regime is rotting from within cannot be understated, and for that reason we should be thankful to Mousavi, Karroubi and all the other insiders who are speaking out and paying for it. There is no real alternative anyway, other than organising a proper opposition in the diaspora (given the dynamics of the diaspora, this is unlikely), or forcing regime change on Iran with the use of foreign help (which, forgetting the disastrous consequences, is not even a long-term solution). We can truly start criticising (in Iran) the revolution and its aftermath once the right democratic environment exists, through a free media, a free judiciary, education, and so on. Until then, we should let the Green Movement develop within the boundaries that exist, so that political development occurs at a natural pace and trajectory. Rejecting Mousavi and co. would be like killing a flower before it has the opportunity to blossom. Here is another comment I left on an earlier article about Mousavi, by Professor Sahimi, which is more relevant to the second part of your question: There is no denying that Mousavi is an important figure in our quest for democracy. He has the revolutionary credentials to attract the conservative base while being pragmatic enough to enlist the support of the young and secular. The likes of Sazegara, Makhmalbaf and Rajavi are insults to the men and women who have fought on the front lines for this movement. I have more respect for Reza Pahlavi as he is putting a genuine effort in lobbying international powers to recognise and condemn the human rights abuses in Iran. However, like you have said yourself, he is disconnected from the realities of Iranian politics and could never lead such a movement. His future involvement is however another factor, which the Iranian people can decide for themselves. What worries me greatly is that we could be making the same mistakes as before. 30 years ago, over 98 of our population voted for a Khomeini who promised democracy and other such freedoms, yet look where we are now. How can we be sure that Mousavi does not do a similar thing He is a politician born out of the Islamic Republic. A leader should have a network of affiliates who can support him Mousavi8217s network of affiliates come from within the regime. His experiences, knowledge and ideology all also come from within the regime. Come on 8211 it took him 6 months and a lot of bloodshed to finally drop the 8220ideals of the revolution8221 jargon He continues to be very reluctant. I can only imagine Mousavi as a figurehead of this movement rather than a leader as you claim. His statement is very prudent and well thought through, but it is only a reflection of the movement8217s wider objectives and not his own. If he was a leader it would have been his own initiative to release such a statement (and probably many months ago) and not bow to the pressure coming from the movement. So by definition he is being led and not leading. When it comes to crunch time, where decisiveness is a must, Mousavi will wilt. That is why I believe the Green movement is still leaderless. Good try for trying to identify one, but I believe we have a long time of searching ahead of us. As you say, this is a marathon and not a sprint. Fiorangela re: your Dec.30 8:36pm post You write btw, I must confess, I would probably favor a return of Shah. The community where I lived during the Shahs reign was almost completely dependent on contracts from Shah. We all built our homes, bought fine cars and consumer goods, started and raised families, all on Iranian contracts. So thanks. oh, ya, sorry about that SAVAK repression business, and the fact that while Americans benefited from Iranian wealth, many Iranians did not. And the arrogant and condescending way American corporate workers in Iran behaved toward Iranians Well, things happen, you know mistakes were made lets let bygones be bygones. There is another feature, though not quite relevant at this time yet worthy of bringing it up: The old advice is: Whenever your partner gets agitated you MUST clam down and try to calm him/her down too, after the smiles and hugging only if it is necessary and only in the right time, tell your partner WHY he/she was wrong, then you will witness the magic of how thorns morph. to flowers. What an interesting paragraph. Maybe the impartial future historians can use your words to describe the attitudes of ordinary Americans to what I think was the truly tragic 23 years that US/UK/Israel were the real rulers of Iran. (from 1953 to 1976) Why was it truly tragic I am not thinking about the ruthless plunder of Iran (as Kissinger told the reasons for 1979 uprising was we went too far in Iran), likewise I am not thinking about the extreme barbarism the best sons and daughter of Iran were subjected to (In mid 70s Amnesty International called Iran the worst violator of Human Rights in the World) rather I am thinking about the severe (or fatal) wounds the coup inflicted on an invisible Iranian mystical entity that existed there for a long long time. Was that entity killed No one is sure since these days there is little sign of its existence in the present daily lives of Iranians. Let me explain what that being was. During many centuries, throughout tremulous and painful historical events a culture was gradually evolving in Iran which comprised of many wise, beautiful and humanistic features. It had a potential to become a major contributing part of a truly civilized future system for all. The concepts and doctrines which were shaping that culture were not only for achieving the cooperative, ethical and peaceful coexistence of all tribes of the world but also sculpting individuals who were capable of feeling the pain of the others, something that is the key for civil constructive coexistence.. I am not ignoring quite a few backward and appalling features of pre-coup Iranian society. Identical to many feudal, monarchic and unjust developing countries of the time, Iran was in no ways an ideal place where one could live in complete peace, freedom and civility (compared to a few existing north Europeans states). Yet there were individuals who had inherited a way of life which was certainly very advanced no matter if that individual couldnt read or write. Probably among the Iranian diaspora there are numerous persons who know or have heard of old-time friends or relatives who were symbols of heart-warming, honesty, selflessness and unconditional love for everyone around them even towards the villains in the community. I believe the driving force behind the behavior of those captivating individuals was the culture that had evolved during thousands of years of living and learning. That culture is what I called above as a mystical entity. What the coup did, it badly crashed that entity, maybe fatally and that is, in my view, the most horrific crime of the coup planners. They didnt know or couldnt know the unprecedented vicious acts that occurred afterwards was, figuratively, like slowly killing one of the rare angels of wisdom, compassion and peaceful living, killing beings who very occasionally surface in the grand stage of humanity. This crime in no way diminishes or belittles the enormity and significance of other crimes known to all. Just the ferocity of the 1979 revolution where the great majority of Iranians rose up so angrily using their nails and teeth to fight against foreign made guns and cannons tells it all. It is relevant to adapt the following comment posted on payvand START OF A SEGMENT FROM THE COMMENT 8230.. Nothing on the militaristic realm can make Iranians proud. What they can boast about is the great cultural strides they have taken on the path of humanity, leaving the Western imperialists behind. Iranians can take pride on their first Human Right Ordinance put in action many centuries ago, on their vast numbers of freethinkers who rejected violence for achieving the illusive success and advocated oneness and affection to enjoy this short ambiguous life. They can feel deep sense of dignity reading a poem from Saadi inscribed on the Hall of Nations of UN telling the world: If you dont have sympathy for human pain The name of human you can not retain. The majesties of the words of Rumi sang 800 years ago can still thrill the souls of many when they read. From the soul-less Solid I metamorphosed to Plant I died from the Plant and became an Animal. I perished from Animality, in my rebirth I was a Human. Then why should I be afraid of death, I never became less from dying. Next I will die from this Humanity To new Head and Wing of an Angel. Once more from an Angel I fly high I become what is beyond any imagination. What an amazing dream on Evolution, especially that of the beastly humans toward a true perfection Even the grandeur of Iranian culture has manifested itself in the recent dark days of history. In the period of 1978-79 Revolution, Iranians could have killed 1000s of occupying Americans, yet they controlled their immense anger, only a few Americans (2 or 4) were assassinated by MEK who are now ironically the Western/Israeli allies in terrorizing the Iranians. IMAGINE if it was the REVERSE situation, if Iran had done the same to US, imposing a monster regime on Americans, plundering their wealth, torturing their best sons and daughters etc8230..and then revolting and getting rid of the Iranian imposed puppet regime One could envision then Iran was here no more, it was totally obliterated. That mature control of rage could now fill the soul of all Iranians with a grand sense of nobility forever. Also during the Iran-Iraq war, Iran refused the offers of the foreign chemical arms-dealers for selling Iran the capability of manufacturing chemical weapons. The Iranians refused it maybe because of the influence of the culture or other convictions founded and strengthened during their never-ending cultural evolution. Remember the statement we are not going to stoop low as these animals who are burning the lungs of our children with such heinous weapons. That refusal could hold the heads of Iranians high for centuries to come8230. and could fill their hearts with an insight of super-human integrity. 823082308230. Am I bitter reading your lines of We all built our homes, bought fine cars and consumer goods, started and raised families, all on Iranian contracts. So thanks. oh, ya, sorry about that SAVAK repression business, and the fact that while Americans benefited from Iranian wealth, many Iranians did not. No way, I can never be like the people who find comfort in revenge. I believe we are each a part of the same humanity, by revenge we destroy each other while by understanding, forgiving and forgetting we build good life for all. I am like so many Iranians who will welcome you in their country regardless of you being sorry or not. If you go to Iran and happen to see a sing of Death to America at the grave site of someones child who was killed in Iran-Iraq war then dont get deceived by that sign. I am sure quite a few of those parents might even invite you for a tea or even for a dinner well knowing that you are an American. For most Iranians the accounts of Americans and their government are distinctly separate. (Unless the present terror campaigns of US and continuous threats or sadistic sanctions give a tool to anti-US Iranian groups for effectively indoctrinating the public) I better stop explaining a story which required many many pages of explanation. Since this still is the period of New Year holidays I end this with a proper ending: One of the nice traditions of Nowruz (New Year) is the event to convert the hostilities and enmities to friendship. In the first 13 days of Nowruz celebrations both sides of the feuding parties are encouraged (by friends or relatives) to visit the home of their adversary as a gesture of making peace, forgetting the past and starting a new beginning. This in most cases works (after hugging and kissing cheeks while others cheer or applaud) I am no expert in women8217s rights in Iran and neither are you. You also refer to the constitution as if it actually means something in Iran. I will leave it up to the experts to refute your somewhat ridiculous argument that women are treated equally under the law in Iran, and your lazy (bigoted) attempt to prove Iranian women8217s rights campaigners wrong. Here is an article from the website of the One Million Signatures campaign: Persian Gulf says: Happy New Year to those readers that want the well being of Iranian people. For the rest (including most of (not all) Iran8217s human rights advocate) advocating sanctions of any sort and war: F U James Canning says: My understanding is that many promoters of the 8220Greater Israel8221 programme think that changing the boundaries of many countries in the Middle East would help to camouflage further Israeli annexations 8211 8211 and cause more instability and conflict among Arab and other countries. The Kurds are an interesting subject area, and their origin is still in dispute. They seem not to have come from the same place, and are in fact an amalgam. Are soem PKK leaders practicing Jews, or just of Jewish background 8220Eric, you are aware the less-lethal loads fired from that CTS Venom launcher consists of either foam, rubber or wood loads, right8221 Those less-lethal 8220payloads8221 are indeed available for the CTS VENOM. As are these payloads, listed in the catalog under the subheading 8220Deployed in Iraq by the US Marine Corps:8221 Flash-Bang/Sting-Ball Combination Variable Ranges to 200 Meters Long Range Flash-Bang Ranges up to 700 Meters Smoke amp Irritant Impact Munitions Variations I should mention that the same writer who emphasizes the critical distinction between 8220moral responsibility8221 and 8220executive responsibility8221 for the 1988 executions (when Mousavi was the prime minister) applies an entirely different standard to leaders he doesn8217t like. For example, Khomeini gets no free pass: 8220In my opinion, the criticism of Khomeini is justified on moral and historical grounds. There is no question that Khomeini was responsible for the execution of thousands of political prisoners in the 1980s, as the ultimate authority at the time.8221 In short, none of that wishy-washy 8220moral/executive8221 talk when the writer is judging Khomeini. I wonder which of his two standards applies to Ahmadinejad. Eric, you are aware the less-lethal loads fired from that CTS Venom launcher consists of either foam, rubber or wood loads, right The general intent is to disperse, not kill. (Lethal loads usually consist of metal shells, bullets or BBs.) Similar types of relatively large caliber rubber less-lethal loads were used in Oakland as recently as a few years ago. (They don8217t kill or maim, but they do inflict large bruising and they sure smart a whole bunch) James Canning 8211 Iraqi Kurd area was shown as part of Ertez Isreal. The western propagandist dn8217t want the public to know that 13 of the top PKK leaders are Jewish Kurds and over 50,000 Kurd Jews live in the Zionist entity. Kurds live in Islamic Iran (5 million), Iraq (6 million), Turkey (14 million), Syria, and Azerbaijan. Dr, Mordechai Zaken in his book Jewish Subjects and their Tribal Chieftains in Kurdistan documents the historical links between Kurds (in Iraq) and the Jews, which Israel plan to exploit if its relations with Turkey turn to worse. In September 2006, BBC reported that Israelis were giving military training to Kurd militia in northern Iraq. Happy new year to you as well. I8217m glad you also appreciate all the 8220less lethal8221 and 8220non-lethal8221 devices one can find on the Combined Systems website. I forgot to mention another peaceful use for CTS VENOM 30-barrel rocket launchers. They are 8220ideal as early warning signals for vehicle checkpoints.8221 Who can doubt that I can think of no better way to let a driver know that there may be a check point a half-mile up the road. But however you choose to use your CTS VENOM, always remember that it8217s 8220most effective as a force multiplier.8221 As best I can tell, 8220force multiplier8221 means that a soldier who8217s got a CTS VENOM is a lot more effective than one who does not. Eric, firstly, happy New Year to you, secondly, just a suggestion, as a new years gift you might want to consider, to give Scott, a one day Moral brake. Again its just a suggestion. Thirdly, really thanks for the link, looks like these equipments can come handy, if the employment cant be fixed before the next election. As I noticed, that you are using the TM, along with the name of the product, I sure did like the fact, that this product is Trade Marked so at least, its protected that no one else can still the name of this remarkable product. Cheers to New Year Fiorangela says: January 2, 2011 at 12:19 pm Thanks for reading, and thanks for the complement of calling my wish list an analysis. A controversial British theoretical physicist has a theory about knowledge/information is like energy. It is indestructible and travels. One of his experiments was to show how newspaper word puzzles were easier to solve in the evening (when many people had already solved them) than in the morning (when few had). I was hoping that if I try and think of a win-win-win solution to the west Asia puzzle, more and more people will start to see it in similar lines. As to your question regarding rivalry over natural resources, I think because spoiling someone elses gains is always easier than hording ones own, all such rivalry will eventually find a path to equitable sharing as the optimal way of managing scarce resources. Moral panic is a great way of explaining destructive narratives that have been with us (humanity) forever and seek to find selective affirmation to deny our common humanity. It gets dangerous, and achieves currency when there are social eddies and vortexes that form from time to time. Z. B. society has not quite come to grips with homophobia, racism, but an African-American president gets vaulted into office and signs the end of DADT. The eddies in the wake of that rush acts as a boost to purveyors of moral hypocrisy. However, because such narratives are morally bankrupt and their policy application is practically unsustainable, their hour of limelight has always been short-lived. James Canning says: Turkey, Iran, Iraq and Syria will continue to work together to ensure no independent Kurdistan is created. Delusional neocons will not get their wish for such a state to come into being (as part of concurrent 8220Greater Israel8221 scheme). The Combined Systems, Inc. website (less-lethal/ ) has some interesting stuff. Much of it is described as 8220non-lethal8221 which I gather is even better than 8220less lethal.8221 My favorite is the CTS VENOM, a menacing device with 30 6-inch cylinders, each capable of firing a high-explosive rocket 1,000 meters. Non-lethal You bet. The CTS VENOM is recommended for entirely peaceful purposes, such as 8220determining the intent of approaching marine vessels.8221 Exactly how, a skeptic might ask, is a 30-barrel rocket launcher, capable of hitting targets from over a half-mile away, used to determine the 8220intent of approaching marine vessels8221 The website page that describes the CTS VENOM does not answer this question. I don8217t know the answer either, but I8217m confident of this: If one of those 30 rockets happens to hit its target from 1,000 meters away, the 8220intent8221 of that 8220approaching marine vessel8221 won8217t matter much any more. If you care enough about this question to explore the matter further, you can fill out the form on the website page titled 8220Request a Demo.8221 Voice of Tehran says: Reasonable assessment. why not. except one point : 822082218230Israel will adopt a non-aggression constitution and remove the stain of apartheid from Palestine823082218221 This will never happen. 8221 TOBEYEH GORG. MARGEH. 8220 So, one day our beloved Mulla Nassrodin came home with great excitement and enthusiasm. He reported to his wife that a very wise, knowledgeable, and prophetic stragner had just arrived. Intrigued but skeptical, Mullas wife asked him to tell her about the strangers knowledge and skills. Mulla went on and on about how the strangers power to see exactly what goes on in a given street at a given time in cities and far away places. He told that the stranger could provide vivid details with such clarity of these unseen places that it seems as if he were right there present on the scene. Mullas wife became increasingly suspicious but seeing how excited Mulla was, she chose to keep her suspicion to herself. She asked Mulla, however, to invite the stranger along with notable people of the town to dinner one night. Mulla thought it to be a great idea. Next day, he invited the stranger and quite a few of rish-sefidan (the elders) from the community to dinner for the following night. Mullas wife prepared chelo morgh (rice and chicken) which used to be a special dish back when people ate meat only on special occasions. Meanwhile, all guests, including the stranger, arrived and sat around the room and began listening to the pearls of wisdom rolling out of the strangers mouth. Mullas wife was quietly observing things from behind the curtain. Suddenly, the wise man paused for a moment, gestured his right hand into the air and uttered: Chekheh Checkeh (a gesture to shoo a dog). He then explained to the fascinated crowd that in Balkh, a street dog was approaching to grab a piece of chicken from the hands of a poor woman who had obtained the chicken with hardship and was taking it home to cook and feed her hungry children. So, he saw it as his duty to intervene, from thousands of farsangs away (lets say thousands of miles away) to ensure that the rights of that poor woman and her children are not trampled upon by the dog. Thats why he was shooing the dog. Naturally, everyone was at awe with this mans abilities and ethics. That is everyone except for Mullas wife who now was convinced of what she needed to do next. She began preparing every dinner plate behind the curtain in the kitchen. For Mulla and all the guests, she put the rice in the plates first and put a decent piece of beryani chicken right on the top. For the noble stranger, however, she put the largest and most premium piece of chicken first and then covered it with some rice. She then called on Mulla to take the plates to the guests and distribute them per her instructions. Once the food was distributed, the stranger looked at his own plate and looked around at everyone elses plate and started frowning. He was visibly and completely offended. He then turned to Mulla and mockingly and with visible anger said, its our tradition that guests should get the best food. How is it that you have given everyone pieces of chicken and for me youve served some dry rice The elders, too, began in chorus to object to this rudeness of Mulla. They claimed that with this action, he had shamed not only himself but the whole community. As the oppositional voices escalated and poor Mulla didnt know what to say, Mullas wife from behind the curtain asked rather respectfully, Oh, our dearest guest, its quite a wonder that you could see so vividly and intervene when a stray dog in Balkh is taking away a piece of chicken belonging to a poor woman, but you cannot see the chicken under the pile of rice in the plate that is in front of your face Whats up with that Rather than sidestep my questions entirely, you can, if you like, conveniently weave together, in a single post, your thoughts on Nima8217s article I cited and your thoughts on the 8220moral/executive8221 distinction being drawn recently by supporters of Mousavi when assessing his responsibility, if any, for the 1988 executions in Iran. Nima WROTE (IN HIS SEP. 2009 WIDE ASLEEP IN AMERICA ARTICLE): 8220In contrast to US government behavior he8217d just described, after reports of torture at Iran8217s Kahrizak prison surfaced in 2009, the Iranian government moved swiftly to close the facility because it 8220lacked the standards8221 to maintain 8220rights of detainees8221 and launched an investigation into the allegations. Around the same time, 140 detainees were released from Tehran8217s Evin Prison at the urging of the head of the Judiciary and Majlis ministers. Additionally, according to a Financial Times report from June 25, 2009 and featured only as an insert in the print edition, several students who had been arrested during the post-election protests, rallies, and riots, were freed in order to join 1.3 million other young Iranians in taking the national university entrance exam. In December 2009, Iranian authorities announced that twelve prison officials from Kahrizak had been arrested and charged with murder and other crimes, including abuse, negligence and deprivation of prisoners8217 legal rights. This past June, courts passed down prison sentences and other punishment to those accused and two prison guards were convicted of murder and 8220intentional assault and battery8221 and were sentenced to death. It was reported this week that the death sentences have been rescinded at the request of the families of the victims. Of course, human rights abuses in Iran are indeed serious and deserve condemnation. END OF QUOTATION FROM NIMA ARTICLE. First, Scott, you8217ll notice that I8217ve not deleted the final sentence from this long quotation, which would have been easy enough to do not even an ellipse would have been required. I am certainly do not argue that the Iranian government is innocent of human rights abuses. But the point here is a narrower one: Even if one concludes that a government official was on the good side of the moral/executive responsibility line when police or military personnel committed some abuse (meaning that one can wag his finger at the official, but he8217s nonetheless not 8220accountable8221), the guilt-line indisputably shifts after the abuse becomes known, eventually incriminating the official himself if he does not punish the wrong-doers and take corrective action to reduce the chance that the abuse will happen again. You might respond that the corrective actions Nima describes here were rare, or publicity stunts or perhaps that Nima or others just made up these stories entirely. Maybe those responses would be valid I don8217t know. In any case, it remains worth inquiring whether similar punitive and corrective actions were ordered by Mousavi and other government officials once it became known to them that 4,500 people were executed in 1988 by government employees over whom they had authority. If one were to look into that and find that Mousavi, the prime minister at the time, took no action, would you conclude that he had ended up on the 8220accountable8221 side of the moral/executive line BiBiJon, how will the massive oil and gas resources off the Lebanon-N Israel/Gaza coast factor into your analysis of Israel-US war against Iran It has long been my belief that a significant part of Israel8217s anti-Iran sentiment has been strictly economic: Israel wishes to enjoy revenue streams produced by sales of oil/gas to Europe. Sanctions targeting Iran8217s oil and gas sectors are a 8216tell8217 that Israel8217s target is NOT Iran8217s nuclear posture but Iran8217s competitive petroleum posture. The other part of Israel8217s anti-Iran sentiment is psychological or maybe, 8220Iranophobia8221 is induced in Israelis by their government (in the language of 8220moral panic8221 theory, by 8220moral entrepreneurs8221) whose underlying purpose is economic resource dominance and who need to keep the citizens in a heightened state of fear and instability in order to wage 8220the long war.8221 Here is my prediction for what comes next. US-Iran war is not going to happen. The net of forces pro and against war will continue to favor an enduring standoff. Whether it is internal dissent (NIE 2007), or Russia rushing to fuel Bushier reactor to deny Israel a potential symbolic target, or Irans own non-trivial defensive capacity, etc. will continue to forestall a breakout out of the current box. RHS argument that in the next 20 years US will attack somebody somewhere is an irrefutable statement which according to Karl Popper is devoid of value in informing policy. Irans reform movement will recover from the shenanigans of saboteurs and their cheer leaders (Lucas, et al) and will once again achieve grass root support, and in their minority status act as a moral compass to the majoritys executive prerogatives. India, Pakistan, and Afghanistan will be enmeshed in inter and intra ethnic, sectarian conflicts to Chinas benefit. All three will blame the US for their troubles. Iran, Turkey, Syria, Armenia, Iraq, Lebanon, Qatar, and Oman will make significant strides in a common-wealth/ Schengen style of immigration and economic ties. This will pull post-succession Egypt and Saudi Arabia into its expanding sphere of influence and give birth to a Luxemburg-like Kurdistan. Iran-US issues will dissolve into this regional movement and the US will wind up being the protector of this post-colonial paradigm in the same way US was an indispensible guarantor in post-WWII Europe. Iran-US relations will start to resemble US-de-Gaulle situation and will be managed by occasional infantile snickering and little else more serious. Yukiya Amano will resign from the IAEA after publication of additional wikileaks cables. Israel will adopt a non-aggression constitution and remove the stain of apartheid from Palestine. Obama will decide not to run for a second term. Scott Lucas says: January 2, 2011 at 11:24 am O. K. there are 2 distinct questions. Why don8217t you have a stab at answering both. 8220Have you considered writing a handbook on how to dodge difficult questions, until easier ones pop up8221 I8217ll leave that for RFI. I8217m happy to consider Nima8217s well-written article but one should be clear that there are two very distinct issues involved 8212 I8217m certain Eric knows that so want to be sure I address the specific points he wishes to consider. From the vast repertoire of Ayaate Elahi, lets see what relevant lessons could be drawn. Antibiotics literally meaning that which is against lifeare chemicals that are used to weaken and destroy what people believe to be disease-causing bacteria and pathogens. Antibiotics are designed to kill life. The general idea behind antibiotics use is that you kill the bacterial lives sooner and in higher numbers than you would kill the healthy living cells. Once the battle is over, the living cells could then regenerate. In reality, however, it turns out that over time the antibiotics kill the local healthy cells (the use mild phrases like tissue irritation to describe this phenomenon), kill the friendly useful bacteria (called normal flora) one whose job is to prevent the growth of harmful bacteria, weaken the bodys own immune system (especially cell-mediated immunity) and reduce its own ability to deal with even very ordinary infections. At the same time as more resistant forms of pathogens are produced. We now have a resurgence of antibiotic-resistant strains of bacteria and various disease agents. In fact, infectious diseases that we thought were eradicated a while back are now coming back stronger and more resistant than ever before. In response, our short-sighted and profit-driven solutions has entailed manufacturing and use of stronger and more lethal forms of antibiotics. As a result, new generations of various pathogenic bacteria have emerged that are resistant to even the more lethal forms of antibiotics. The whole approach has caused an escalating feedback loop that is spiraling out of control. Scott Lucas says: January 2, 2011 at 6:48 am 8220Re Nimas thoughts on the US Government presentation of human rights or re Nimas thoughts on the situation inside Iran8221 Have you considered writing a handbook on how to dodge difficult questions, until easier ones pop up Scott Lucas 8211 What you think of torture of 9,000 Palestinians and Lebanese in Israeli prison 8211 8220moral8221 or 8220executive8221 How about the jailing of a Jewish American traitor Joanthan Pollard in the US in 1987 8211 was it a 8220moral8221 or a 8220executive8221 punishment But then, since the Iranian Islamists claim to be the 8220Choen People8221 8211 world should only scriutinize Iranians, right Here is a moral lesson8230. 8220Ive recently noticed a distinction being drawn by certain writers between 8216moral8217 and 8216executive8217 responsibility for torture and executions by the Iranian government.8221 I8217ll leave others to debate moral responsibility. My focus in covering events is on executive and even systematic handling of political and legal issues. 8220I am curious to hear your views on another piece Nima wrote three months ago8221 Re Nima8217s thoughts on the US Government presentation of 8220human rights8221 or re Nima8217s thoughts on the situation inside Iran excerpt: Non-lethal weapons, also called less-lethal weapons, less-than-lethal weapons, non-deadly weapons, pain-inducing weapons or, more recently, compliance weapons are weapons intended to be less likely to kill a living target than are conventional weapons. These various terms are meant to describe the intended result of applying these technologies, techniques and procedures accidental, incidental, and correlative casualties are possible and are an understood and accepted risk wherever force is applied. Non-lethal weapons are used in combat situations to limit the escalation of conflict or where employment of lethal force is prohibited or undesirable or where rules of engagement require minimum casualties or policy restricts the use of conventional force. Non-lethal weapons may be used by conventional military in a range of missions across the force continuum. Non-lethal weapons may also be utilized by military police, by United Nations forces, and by occupation forces for peacekeeping and stability operations. Non-lethal weapons may be used to channelize a battlefield or control the movement of civilian populations or limit civilian access to restricted areas (as they were utilized by the U. S.M. C.8217s 1st Marine Expeditionary Force in Somalia in 1995). When used by police forces domestically, similar weapons, tactics, techniques and procedures are often called 8220less lethal8221 or 8220less than lethal8221 and are employed in riot control, prisoner control, crowd control, refugee control, and self-defense. 8220On Apr 17 2009 Palestinian peace activist Bassem Abu Rahmah was killed when a tear gas canister fired by IDF soldiers struck him in the chest. The tear gas canisters are manufactured in Jamestown, Pennsylvania, by Combined Systems, Inc. Bassem Abu Rahmah was leading a peaceful protest of Israeli settlements on Palestinian land at Bilin.8221 Ironic choice of Web domain name for Combined Systems, Inc.: On Apr 17 2009 Palestinian peace activist Bassem Abu Rahmah was killed when a tear gas canister fired by IDF soldiers struck him in the chest. The tear gas canisters are manufactured in Jamestown, Pennsylvania, by Combined Systems, Inc. The canisters are not intended for use against persons in open-air situations they are intended to penetrate indoor barricades. Bassem Abu Rahmah was leading a peaceful protest of Israeli settlements on Palestinian land at Bil8217in. This morning, Jawaher Abu Rahmah, Bassem Abu Rahmah8217s widow, was laid to rest after succumbing to tear gas asphyxiation. Mrs. Abu Rahmah had also been engaged in a peaceful protest against Israeli settlements at Bil8217in when she was repeatedly targeted with tear gas canisters by Israeli military forces. alexbkane. wordpress/2011/01/01/ny-times-isabel-kershner-wasnt-at-bilin-demo-but-still-wrongly-reports-on-it/ I8217ve recently noticed a distinction being drawn by certain writers between 8220moral8221 and 8220executive8221 responsibility for torture and executions by the Iranian government. To be more precise, I haven8217t actually come across any mention at all of this distinction in connection with the current situation, but I do see it more and more often when supporters of Mousavi discuss his responsibility, if any, for the 1988 executions of 4,500 Iranians when Mousavi was Iran8217s prime minister. Consider, for example, this passage in an article that recently appeared on another prominent Iran-focused website. I8217ve put 8220MORAL8221 and 8220EXECUTIVE8221 in all caps because that distinction was emphasized by the writer himself, and his emphasis might otherwise not be obvious from this short passage: START OF QUOTATION: The entire leadership of the time, including Mousavi, Karroubi, and Khatami has MORAL responsibility for the 1988 executions. In addition, those in the leadership who were directly involved in the executions also bear EXECUTIVE responsibility and must some day defend themselves in open court. If it eventually turns out that Mousavi, Karroubi, and other political figures that support or lead the Green Movement had EXECUTIVE responsibility for the executions, they must thus be held accountable, though, of course, allowed to defend themselves in a fair trial. Note that the distinction between MORAL and EXECUTIVE responsibility is not my invention. The concept has been recognized and invoked since at least World War II in many major trials involving large-scale political killings and mass murders. END OF QUOTATION. What do you think of this distinction in particular, what do you understand is required for an official to be 8220directly8221 involved, and thus 8220accountable8221 How, if at all, do you think this distinction is relevant to the current situation BiBiJon: 8220First off, Happy New year and best wishes for 2011.8221 And to you And everyone here at RFI, especially our hosts 8220There is an air of inevitability about the way you predict the future conflict.8221 Indeed. That8217s how I see it. 8220That inevitability causes a cest la vie type of cognitive dissonance in me.8221 Which, as I suggest about most people who doubt the possibility, is precisely why people are resistant to the notion. 8220A little like absolutely certain predictions of a massive earth quake would not figure in my decision to move to San Francisco.8221 Well, unlike in many countries like Italy or Turkey, it8217s less likely that a large San Fran earthquake will really kill all that many people. I went through the 1989 Loma Prieta and the toll there was minimal in comparison to 5,000 here and 10,000 there in other countries. The area spends a lot of money on earthquake damage abatement. Also, it8217s a fait accompli. In this country earthquakes tend to do less damage than floods or hurricanes or tornados but short of abandoning the state of California, there8217s not much one can do about them. War remains inevitable in human behavior. 8220It is a question of how seriously they might perceive a threat to themselves.8221 It8217s also a question of how much the US is a threat to them if they act militarily or too economically aggressively against the US. The US spends 47 of the world8217s military spending 8211 China spends 6, Russia 3.5. They can do the math. 8220I suspect they may be capable of shooting down a few satellites, helping Iran sink a few navy ships, and if need be threaten the US with ICBMs if that is what it takes to convince the US to cease and desist.8221 Never happen. The most China will do is sell more advanced anti-ship missiles to Iran. Russia might help out covertly with some signals intelligence. That8217s about all they can without facing a direct threat from the US. Now in addition to that, both China and Russia can be more aggressive in refusing to go along with US demands about things like US debt in China and missile defense in Europe. The US ruling elite has to weigh such things. But in the end, as long as those kinds of costs don8217t weigh more than the profits of war, war will happen. If some one can give me a real dollar figure on how much an Iran war would cost the ruling elites in the US 8211 not the US taxpayer, not the general US consumer economy, I8217m talking about the cost to the RULING ELITES ONLY 8211 because they don8217t care about any other costs 8211 and prove that such costs are higher than any possible profits they could make in the military-industrial complex or the oil industry, then I might reconsider. I don8217t think anyone can make such a case in any detail. And THAT cost-benefit is the only one that matters 8211 not any others. Tehran stops oil sale to India Voice of Tehran says: if you allow me one last comment to 8216close8217 this issue and this should by no means be considered as an offense. With all my true and honest humbleness ( Tavazo amp Ekhlass ). I see some significant differences in attitude comparing the Iranian commentators who are writing from the US and those who live permanently in Iran. I do not want to dig further into this point. however I urge my fellow countrymen. who are not living in Iran to pay extra attention to the events in Iran and to the 8216 real 8216 realities ( without judgment ). However there should never be a 8216 WE 8216 and 8216 THEM 8216. on the contrary we rather should complement and learn from each other. No matter where we live and who we are. He who knows and knows that he knows is wisefollow him. 8230 In this sense. I wish ALL of you a happy, healthy and prosperous NEW YEAR 2011. which already started in Iran 1 hour and 24 minutes ago. fyi says: December 31, 2010 at 3:37 pm I8217d like to explore India a bit further. I don8217t by Israeli influence idea, as indeed I don8217t buy the 8220lobby8221 influence in the US. I dont deny that AIPAC has some influence, but I think all influence is a mental construct, a myth imposed on the influenced. They actively exaggerate what influence they have in order to have any influence at all. If the nutty Zionists, supremacist WASPs and evangelical Christians are given a seat at the table, it is because they carry water for the MIC. If they dared talk world peace and prosperity, card-carrying Zionist or not, they8217d be booted off the policy table. Is India so worried about China If so, how does burning bridges with Iran help Or. for that matter, why would India align herself with a power who forces binary choices on her Has India decided, once the dust settles, there will be only US in the region If their calculations are sound, perhaps Iran ought to start practicing genuflexing. fyi, RE: 8220Which is what Jesus stated: 8216It is written in the Quran al Akbar, that man shall not live by bread alone, but by every word of God.8217 8230That is what the Principle of Unitarity of Revelation leads us to.8221 I know what you mean. I have come to understand 8220la elaha ell-allah8221 (rejecting the toxic existences at the same time as letting in that which is Good) a lot differently, too. Voice of Tehran, RE: 8220Now I wonder. whether you address any special person or group in this valuable forum. Although I cannot mention each and every one. besides SL. whose GHOST ( in the sense of Goethe ) and his 2 companions we have called ourselves. else I see excellent and brave commentators expressing themselves here. Kindly be more specific.8221 I was generalizing to the public outside of this forum and it was not about just the issue of war with Iran. As for a few people whose post may be intended to divert attention and redirect the discussions, I think, a) there is a good give and take from both sides, b) 8220adoo sababe kheir shavad agar khoda khahad8221 at minimum, it they have any ill intent (I have no evidence to believe that PAK and Binam do), then what they say motivates others to be more vigilant keep mentally 8220in shape8221. I personally do not mind them. Voice of Tehran says: Nice excursion and very well expressed. Now I wonder. whether you address any special person or group in this valuable forum. Although I cannot mention each and every one. besides SL. whose 8216 GHOST 8216 ( in the sense of Goethe ) and his 2 companions we have called ourselves. else I see excellent and 8216 brave 8216 commentators expressing themselves here. Kindly be more specific. If you are speaking about the general situation in the US. then you are absolutely right of course. The US Empire only existed in our minds and on paper. The grandeur to 8216 manage8217 the world never ever existed in the US leadership. neither in their intellectuals. people etc. The US was a Pseudo - Empire by pure coincidence. The God-given 8216 FETRAT 8216 of human beings is in complete contrast of what the US-Empire wanted to impose on the world. BiBiJon says: December 31, 2010 at 2:40 pm There are more than 200 Million Muslims in India. The strategic community in India has decided to assume the role of Junior Partner to US strategically. I suppose against China. Those who run the show in India are Hindus with deep anti-pathy to Islam. The anti-pathy to Islam permeates all strata of the India society. Even the concept of charity (the fundamental idea behind socialism) they owe to Islam and yet they will never admit that much. Furthermore, these same people are very much in awe of Israelis. The Hindus have projected and conflated their wars with Pakistan and in Kashmir to Israel and Palestine. Looking at the map, I fail to see how India can offer any strategic value to US. India is hemmed in by the Himalayas, by the Rajesthan desert, and by Bengaladash. She is going to throw her weight around against who exactly She has burnt her bridges to Iran and the future would tell if that was a wise move for that country. Empty says: December 31, 2010 at 1:51 pm You wrote: 82208230just as our body needs to consume proper nutritious food free of pesticides and toxins to remain healthy, so, too, our collective and individual minds need healthy servings of knowledge, words,82308221 Which is what Jesus stated: 8220It is written in the Quran al Akbar, that man shall not live by bread alone, but by every word of God.8221 That is what the Principle of Unitarity of Revelation leads us to. BiBiJon says: December 31, 2010 at 1:01 pm I do not have any data to gauge the likelihood of revolution among the Arab states. My study of previous indigenous revolutions has led me to the observation that the revolutions are preceded with rising expectations among the populace. Moreover, the life-time of the new revolutionary state seems to be 2, at most 3 generations (20 years for each generation). Which nicley fits Ibn Khaldun8217s empirical observations for the duration of ruling-houses in North Africa of his time period. In North African Arab states, change will come from Sunni Islam 8211 the intelligensia of Maghreb is so thoroughly French that no intellectual leadership can be expected from them that the population will find convincing. Moroco and Tunisia are creole civilizations 8211 if you travel there you can see it. If I were a Morocan or Tunisian leader I would go to US embassy and ask help in order to fight the nefarious Shia subversives that are inspired by Iran (there are no Shia there). Washington is sure to give them a lot of money. I have no idea about CIA8217s analytical capabilities and their crystal-ball(s) 8211 if any. James Canning says: December 31, 2010 at 2:13 pm I think you have touched on critical element that will shape the future course of regional politics: cooperative partnerships among countries for manifest economic Possibly security) self interests. I used to think of India in that category particularly because of the lattitude Mottaki (graduate of Indian university) was being given to strengthen Iran-India relations despite set backs vis-a-vis India8217s vote against Iran in IAEA. Recent events with ACU and India8217s central bank is making me wonder if however India was encouraged to go against Iran could not be replicated to isolate Iran from other nations. Anotherwords, what is special about Turky/Syria/Iran/Iraq that excludes India (100 million muslim population, not to mention the Parsi8217s of Mumbai) James Canning says: I hope others were as pleased as I am, that Obama took advantage of the break to send a UN ambassador to Damascus. Foolish Republican Senators had been obstructing confirmation. No US ambassador in Syria for five years Sheer idiocy, unworthy of a great country. And sheer idiocy brought about by: ISRAEL LOBBY What a surprise. James Canning says: Turkey, Syria, Iraq and Iran are working together in their joint best interests, despite all the anti-Iran ranting published in US newspapers, etc etc etc. In the past few days, there has been a plea for funding for this site. One of the most compelling reasons provided for support has been that the site presents views and perspective about the U. S. foreign policy toward Iran that are not getting a fair and balanced exposure and consideration both by the decision makers and by the U. S. public at large. This has provided a good opportunity, at least for me, to reflect a bit about the concept of free speech, what it means, and the rights and responsibilities that go with it. Many posts have either directly discussed or alluded to free speech in one form or another. Some have argued how free speech is lacking in Iran. Others have pointed to cases that show otherwise. A few people have even discussed the lack of free speech in the U. S. and various forms that it takes. Some speeches are censored by aggressive smear campaigns, others are drowned in the sea of rhetoric and trumpeted out of hearing range some are curbed by deliberate underfunding, others are obscured by selective reporting some are diverted and hi-jacked by specific groups and individuals, others are willfully mis-interpreted and words twisted to convey completely different meaning that was originally meant. But what does it really mean to have the right to speak To free speech Are there limits Are there guidelines Should there be limits Should there be guidelines If yes, based on what rationale should those guidelines be set Or, should people be able to say anything at any time If so, what would be the consequences of this All these questions dance in my head as I try to figure out what to say and what not to say how to say something and when to say something, or should I support a space for one perspective or another. As I read the posts, I realize that many people get into back-and-forth discussions based on assumptions, by all sides, that are left unexamined. This makes a lot of posts rather contradictory. Perhaps this time is as good as any time, to share these thoughts with you. Perhaps it is helpful in making decisions whether to contribute or not. I find myself having a really hard time accepting any right decoupled and alienated from the responsibilities that go with that right. I cannot, for example, think that I have the right to life in a society separate and independent of the responsibilities that goes with that life: responsibilities to myself, to my family and friends, to people in my community, and to people all over the world (current and future generations). If I think I have the right to gain a particular knowledge or skill, then I must also think that I have an obligation and responsibility to use that knowledge and skill to better my own life, the life of those around me, and all other people. I also think that I have the responsibility to apply that knowledge and skill carefully, thoughtfully, and reflectively so that I do not do more harm than good. I think this is not easy though. It does require great wisdom that is not easy to gain and maintain. Once I have gained that wisdom, how do I exercise courage to actually practice it By all accounts, I do not find these things easy. I am willing, however, to give it try. Because ultimately, my intention is to contribute to achieving a healthy world and all that it entails physically, mentally, emotionally, spiritually, and more. I also think that I have an obligation to try to be just to the extent that is possible. That means, for instance, that I would not disproportionately invest my energy and resources in my physical health such that I completely neglect my spiritual health as these are so interconnected. Similarly, I do not advocate for investing in one individual, one group, one nation, and one generation such that another individual, another group, another nation, and another generation are completely neglected and screwed so to speak. I, for example, do not believe that the Iranian people should, in one or two generation, guzzle up the oil and the gas and all natural resources at the expense of all generations to come. So, I welcome designations of a year called eslahe olgooye masraf (Reforming the Patterns of Consumption) in Iran that are then followed up with policies and actions in subsequent years. Are they perfect Of course not. Could they be better Of course. They are, by all accounts, steps in the right direction to illustrate that the right to oil is so entirely linked to very critical responsibilities about how, when, where, and why or why not to use this critical resource. I contrast that with the U. S. policies that I see. Anyone who has any understanding of the U. S. also knows that energy wastes, un-regulated consumption, mindless borrowing, un-wise productions of items that are absolutely toxic to our health, life, and planet are at their highest. Yet, what was the advice Bush the Lesser gave to the American public right after Sept. 11th Be patriotic. Go shopping. And what gift Obama, the champion of pocket change, has to give Another few trillion dollars added to the Empire of Borrowed Wealth. These rights that are decoupled and alienated from responsibilities. Now, what have any of these to do with free speech I think, just as our body needs to consume proper nutritious food free of pesticides and toxins to remain healthy, so, too, our collective and individual minds need healthy servings of knowledge, words, ethics, and the like on a regular basis to remain healthy. Bodies that run on empty calories, toxic foods, trans-fatty acids, processed sugars and the like are fertile grounds for heart attacks, diabetes, cancers, and all the ills that follow. In addition, when the body gets too busy working on a non-nutritious food, for example, it postpones/delays all other vital activities (including immune systems functions) till its done with digestion and elimination of this food. Similarly, when individual and collective minds of a society are bombarded relentlessly by nonsense, junk information, malicious utterances, and the like, those minds cannot process what is truly needed for them to flourish, excel, and evolve. I grew up hearing from my parents that one is given two ears and one mouth so it means the ratio of ones listening to ones speaking should be 2:1. It may not look like (at least from the posts I do on this site) that I have listened to my parents advice. But I surely try. I do see also, that under the banner of free speech, toxic information, informational spams, empty speeches are given a wide latitude to grow but useful, constructive, and healthy information and speeches are silenced under the banner of anti-defamation this and that, character assassinations, and false labels in the U. S. Alarmingly and vary painfully, I also observe that people in the U. S. are increasingly indoctrinated (through various means including the media) to have a sense of entitlement to say absolutely anything at any time and any where about anything, a bad case of verbal diarrhea of a sort, and expect absolutely no consequences and no responsibility about what they say so long as they stick to junk-speeches. I also see that very deep discourses are happening in Iran about these very concepts of rights to speech and deeds that are either linked or de-linked from responsibilities that go with those rights within Iran. They are being played out in films, trials, blogs, websites, newspapers, the seminaries in Qom, TV and radio programs, and conferences and seminars. I personally believe in dialectical approaches to illustrate differences between critical speeches and verbal diarrhea rather than coercive measures to the degree that is possible as the former approach raises the publics consciousness and the latter approach is only a short-cut. I am also hopeful and see early signs that these discourses are heading the right direction and would progress should there be no threat of war. What does this mean for the contribution plea, well, it all depends on what anyone thinks what his/her responsibilities are. I have read 8220Khomeini: Life of the Ayatollah8221 by Baqer Moin. It was a very informative and descriptive book on the life of Imam Khomeini and would recommend it to all. Voice of Tehran says: Here a couple of intersting books in German language : Titel Autor ABC des Islam Allamah Tabatab8217i Abu Huraira 8211 Ursache und Wirkung seiner berlieferungen Sayyid Abdul Hussain Scharafuddin Musawi Al-Muradschaat 8211 Die Konsultation 8211 Dialog zwischen Sunniten und Schiiten Sayyid Abdalhussain Scharufuddin Musawi Antworten auf Rechtsfragen Imam Seyyid Ali Khamene8217i Antworten auf Rechtsfragen Teil 2 Imam Seyyid Ali Khamene8217i 8230 auf da Liebe und Freundschaft zwischen euch sei Ibrahim Amini Auf dem Weg zum Weltbrger und einer menschlichen Welt M. Razavi Rad Aufruf zum Ein-Gott-Bekennen 8211 Brief Imam Khomeinis an Michael Gorbatschow Imam Khomeini Aus den Gebeten der Mevlevi (Evrad-i Scherif) Rumi, Dschalaleddin (Mevlana) Auszge aus Gedichten (mehrsprachig) Omar Khayyam Bibel, Koran und Wissenschaft Maurice Bucaille Charta der Freiheit Imam Khamene8217i Dem stillen Dialog verpflichtet Annemarie Schimmel Die Makamen des Hariri Hariri Die Regeln der Qur8217an-Rezitation Abdullah Frank Bubenheim, Nadem Elyaz Die Spirituelle Dimension des Islam Allamah Tabatab8217i Ein - und Einzigkeit Gottes Ghazali, Abu Hamid ibn Muhammed Ende des Darwinismus Harun Yahya 82308230. fyi says: December 31, 2010 at 12:35 pm 8220More of the same with no resolution.8221 I can see the 8220more8221 part, but not the 8220same8221 part, because economies, military power, threat perception, etc. are not constants. In particular, risks are ever changing. Z. B. Saudi Arabia and Egypt will undergo leadership changes. The risks of associated upheaval are not zero. Unlikely places, e. g. Morocco, may start flaming with revolution. Who would like to bet on the likelihood of that being assessed correctly by CIA Fiorangela says: December 31, 2010 at 11:52 am To be accurate to Pak, there is a current and persistent evil in the Iranian polity that is practiced against women. That is Honor Killing 8211 where woman is murdered by her relatives if she is suspected of having compromised the Honor of her family. Iranian society shares that with every single Muslim society that you care to mention. One recent case in Dezful: a man beheaded her 7-year old daughter since he suspected her uncle to have molested her. There are many many sickening cases like that they were there at the time of the Shah and they are here now. Lower class women are subject to more of this form of violence. There is no doubt. BiBiJon says: December 31, 2010 at 12:30 pm More of the same with no resolution. Resolution is not possible US cannot internally deliver on any promises that she makes to Iran. Just would like to repeat a teaser for discussing 8220what comes next8221 Where are current trajectories that seem to be defining Iran-US rivalry in the region leading to Is war a serious option I personally doubt it. Russia and China are extremely unlikely to endorse a use of force resolution in UNSC. Turkey8217s objections will create a serious fissure within NATO, and any unilateral move seems utterly pointless, if not downright counterproductive. Sanctions can only last so long. Supply and demand, easy money making opportunities, etc. will surely make any sanction regime over time to leak like a sieve. Any maritime blockade to enforce the sanctions is of course an act of war, but even if a future Sara Palin went that rout, it does not address Iran8217s land borders. Continued, and escalating threats, covert actions, and media Iran bashing have already brought Turkey, Iran, Syria, Iraq, etc. closer together, and will likely cement those relationships even tighter. I am at a loss. Just as two parallel lines never meet, nor does the dual track approach yield a tangible point in the future for the ships of various states to sale towards. Thanks Iranian, I8217ll check it out. It8217s funny, about ten days ago I was searching for an objective biography on Khomeini. I checked my public library system and came up with zilch. Surprising. We have one recent biography on Ahmadinejad but it is heavily biased and I put it down about 1/4 the way through. There8217s virtually nothing on Khamenei. Fiorangela says: December 31, 2010 at 11:52 am Thank you for your comments. Indeed, in USSR, they followed the Feminist Revolution to the bitter end. Thus, when USSR collapsed, young women truned to becoming international prostitutes a phenomenon that we are observing in US where thousands of young and comely women 8211 over decades 8211 became whores since that was an easy way of making money 8211 an not because of financial stress. You see, in the Western society, a woman is everything between 15 to 35 8211 after that she is a hag. She might as well take advantage of it and sell her charms to the highest bidder to make money the supreme value of their society. American men are not militarized they are bewildered. A young man in America has nothing: he has no money and his access to the things of good-life is limited. Those who are in universities and are otherwise pursuing serious courses of study have to give-up on partying etc. to build their credentials. The loosers are stuck in low-level clerical or menial positions with no chance of advancement (cemetery care taker). And all the while, the young women are exploiting their sexual power to the hilt bestowing their favors whimsically here and there on a young man that they find feminized enough and silly enough to not be a threat. fyi, pak, the West8217s bid to reform Iran8217s oppressive treatment of women frequently amuses me. Younger women in the US 8212 Sarah Palin8217s cohort 8212 came of age in a much different world from that of their mothers and even elder sisters. American women older than Palin could NOT own property in their own name could not obtain a mortgage in their own name could not hold their own bank account. Sarah Palin8217s mother8217s generation of American women would have been denied employment because 8220a man should have the job8221 it was permissible for an employer to question a female candidate for employment about her plans to marry and to produce children, and to withhold employment on those bases. The presence of Sarah Palin8217s female elders in professional schools and advanced degree programs was the exception, not the rule. As for dress codes, at my (Catholic) university, women were required to wear skirts/dresses, no pants/slacks, and jeans were beyond the pale. Iran, today, looks very much like a college campus from the early 1960s in the US. Sarah Palin and her cohort may be unaware of the realities of life for women whose adult options were to enter nursing, teaching, or stay-at-home motherhood. Women in teaching professions were not infrequently required to remain unmarried 8212 when my older sister, a teacher, announced that she was engaged to be married, her employer gave her the option of terminating her plan to marry or her teaching career. In the US, women have come a long way in a relatively short time. Our daughters are not as attuned to the road that has been traveled, and the tolls that have been paid. Today, American families are fractured and dysfunctional. It8217s difficult for me to avoid a connection between the de-feminization of American women and the hyper-militarization of American men. Maybe feminism has gone too far American women who may be aware of the full scope of American female liberation may be more eager to mind their own business and let Iranian women chart their own path. Pak says: December 31, 2010 at 12:04 am I used to be critical of the concept of Supreme Jurisprudent. But I have come to respect the Office as Mr. Khamenei8217s execution of that office8217s duties and privileges have prevented both chaos and dictatorship to re-emerge in Iran. I do not, on a personal level, trust any of the existing factions I find them to be singularly agenda-driven and dis-respectful of Law and Order. They would do anything, in other words, to gain power and to hold it up to and including assassinations and usurpation of power. This is a characteristic of Iran (and perhaps all Muslim polities) which was seen during 1905-1921 period. The political chaos that aided Reza Khan8217s ascendancy to power as the Law and Order leader. Same thing happened in Syria in the 1950s when that country was a representative democracy coup, assassinations, etc. until the Alawaites took control of the state. Go no further than Iraq to see what I mean. That it is a new concept is actually quite pleasing as it goes against the grain of the Islamic conservatism8217s abhorrence of 8220innovation8221, bid8217a. Rd. says: December 31, 2010 at 10:01 am I doubt that there is a US hand behind the recognition of Palestine by the South American states. I do not believe that US is capable of playing such a deep hand if she could, she would not have been where she is today in Palestine. I think there are Palestinian and Arab immigrants in South America that could be influencing the local scene. I also think this is a cheap and cost-free way for these states to play a role in the World affairs it is an exercise of soft-power. I supsect that the recognition of the Palestinian state by these South American states is an indication of pateince running out with US and her pet in Palestine. Pak says: December 31, 2010 at 12:04 am Bigoted views on women are not shared across the Iranian population. The 10 that I mentioned earlier those who try to treat their sons and daughters equitably, certainly are not bigoted the way I think you intended in using that word. Furthermore, bigotry is relative: compared to whom The Afghans The Turks The Arabs Iranians and in fact many non-Western people, have well-defined opinions and ideas about the role of men and women and their position in society. One of them, for example, is the idea of male space and female space 8211 sharfed by Iranians, Chinese, and many others. A manifestation of that idea is in England: where football stadia are a male exclusive domain, just like Iran. In fact, to my knowledge, US is the only country in the world in which women freely go to sport arenas. Which brings me to this: the Western people, in their post-Christian phase, have assaulted the traditional notions of man/woman relationship that I have alluded to. They have weakened the role of man/masculine in their societies and have done their best to deny 8211 on the intellectual level 8211 the qualitative differences between men and women. They have tried to expand female space (no issue there) by eliminating men space and by attacking masculinity. Therefore, I do not beleive that you can base your judgement on the status women in Iran on the example of the late 20-th century/early 21-th century US-EU Axis. Marriage used to be a badge of honor in US-EU Axis states now it is a form of bondage. Notice how these states encourage and aide any form of sexual deviancy and yet have a very confrontational legal attitude towards male sexuality In this case of status of women in Iran, reform must start with the existing Laws. West, which denies now that the nature of woman is Love, cannot serve as template. fyi However, there will be no progress on any front for US in the Middle East over the next 2 years not in Palestine, not in the Levant, not in Iraq, and certainly not in Iran. Agree with your comments, but curious what your thoughts are about the following, considering Bosnia will be taking the presidency of SC. Would US abstain even so, there wont be peace in Palestine, but has the potential to keep the Israelis busy/distracted for a while. Also, with Brazil pushing for this and specially with Abbas, is there a US hand behind this 8220The Palestinians and Arabs will shortly bring a draft resolution before the UN Security Council calling on Israel to halt Jewish settlements in Palestinian territories and Jerusalem8221 Richard Steven Hack says: December 31, 2010 at 5:58 am Thanks for your reply. Personally I feel there are 3 things we may wait for in perpetuity, in futility: Beckett8217s Godot, US-Iran rapprochement, and war. I discount possibility of war because despite many opportunities to start one, no one has. Flynt Leverett has said many times that such a war would be on the grounds that Iran is enriching uranium. Given Iran8217s rights under NPT, this would not only be illegal, but a dangerous NPT shredding move. In that context, whatever national security justification is usurped for that aggression, it would be instantly negated by making acquisition of nuclear deterrent a top priority for all nations on the planet. Secondly, I guess Iran8217s geographic size, and nationalistic cohesion is forcing military planners to think before they act. Similarly, if reports I read about Iranian capacity to retaliate (even if short lived) are at all realistic, then Iran can wreak havoc with the world economy 8212 another food for thought. Third, looking at the map, Iran is the only Persian Gulf littoral state that has independence from western hegemony. If China lets Iran go, where would China find alternative sources of energy other than from Russia or from US controlled Persian Gulf Fourth, for decades, if not centuries, Russia8217s sensitivity to the security of her soft underbelly has been instrumental in creating a space for Iran to be 8216independent.8217 No matter how much the US bribes Russia, I doubt that the US can feel secure that Russia will stay 8216completely8217 out of the fight rather than avenge the 808217s Afghanistan. If you haven8217t read anything, you have no evidence. And Israel is still wrong on their estimate after twenty five years: BiBiJon says: 8220Assuming the US policy will stay on the animosity track (forever), and assuming Iran will not capitulate (ever), then what next8221 You know my answer to that: war. It8217s virtually inevitable. The US will attack Iran at some point and Iran will be beaten down badly, but ultimately the US will lose the war just as it lost the war in Iraq and is losing the war even more badly in Afghanistan. At this point in my mind, the only question is whether the US is more intent on expanding the war in Afghanistan into Pakistan more than it is intent on attacking Iran. I am beginning to suspect that the US ruling elites are seeing the current profits from AfPack as being more enticing than the future profits from the Iran war. This may delay the Iran war for some more years. So it will be important to watch the progress of the efforts to expand the war into Pakistan. If they seem to be making headway and the alleged 8220withdrawal8221 is dumped by the wayside in the next two years, then an Iran war may be delayed. A war with Pakistan 8211 or an indefinite bog down in Pakistan 8220assisting8221 the Pakistani military in fighting the militants 8211 would be as profitable to the US ruling elites as a war with Iran. But it won8217t make Israel as happy. Eric: I agree that Nima8217s write up won8217t matter a whit. It8217s just nice to have it as a resource all in one place. This site isn8217t going to matter a whit in the end either. It8217s just nice to have one (more) place to get decent analysis and news. Eric: 8220Are they not hypocritical to condemn Wikileaks when they publish the cables (and, with one or a very few exceptions) Wikileaks does not publish any of them until the newspapers have done so8221 I8217d say so. But then I recognize that the media are hypocritical in their essence. They claim to be an 8220estate8221 intended to deliver truth to their audience when in fact they are and always have been beholden to the state and corporate agencies and only rarely confront those agents and only when it is profitable for them to do so 8211 and only to the degree that they do not sever their relations with those agencies. The advantage Wikileaks has is that it does not have relations with states or corporate agencies, and if there is any problem in the way these cables are being released, it is in that Wikileaks appears to be forging links with the media which in the end will compromise that independence. This doesn8217t surprise me since Assange has emerged as Wikileaks public face. He has been 8220co-opted8221 by media celebrity status and this almost always works to the disadvantage of truth. He should have remained more hidden and less available and allowed Wikileaks to act in a more 8220underground8221 manner. But this is not really a problem. The more Wikileaks becomes compromised by Assange8217s behavior and the media8217s manipulated perceptions of him, others will surface to take its place. To some degree, the conflicts within Wikileaks and the apparent emergence of alternatives demonstrate that this is already taking place. It will be a couple years before any alternatives can establish themselves as Wikileaks has, but it will happen. What an organization like Wikileaks can do has been established and others will wish to participate for their own reasons. Scott: 8220It is safe to appreciate there are at least four errors in that sentence8221 None of which are demonstrated by your words on this site. Actions speak louder than words and actual posts speak louder than declarations of innocence. You ARE clearly hostile to Iran and considerably more so than any other Middle East country on this Web site. Whereas I am completely indifferent to Iran and every other country in the Middle East, with the possible exception of Israel since it is the source of at least half the US8217s problems in that region (the US being itself responsible for everything else.) Pak, I regard Abbas Milani as something of an Iranian expat version of Charles Krauthammer. Personally speaking, I haven8217t come across a satisfactory biography of Khomeini, Khamenei or Ahmadinejad in the English language, so if someone has a suggestion to offer, I too am interested. Have you seen this documentary on YouTube 8220In any case, though, the comparison is easy to the Iranian government that had come before. One needs only to repeat here the Shahs jaw-dropping description of women reported by Empty82308221 Draw-dropping indeed, because despite his bigotry, the Shah recognised that women are 8220equal in the eyes of the law8221. Compare that to the Iranian government now, and you will see how women are definitely not equal in the eyes of the law. Khomeini opposed the Shah8217s White Revolution, because it gave women the right to vote and become judges. After the revolution, Khomeini repealed the Shah8217s Family Protection Law, which had delegated the right to divorce and custody of children to the courts, set the minimum age of marriage to 18, and heavily regulated polygamy. I am always interested to know more, especially about Khomeini. While I am aware of the impact he had, the words he spoke, and the actions he took, I am totally unaware of the philosophy that drove his thinking. I generally judge everything by tangible evidence, which is why I maintain that he is a lying, murderous tyrant. But, as with most revolutionaries who have blood on their hands, he must have been a complex and interesting man. Please let me know of any books that describe his philosophical underpinnings. English would be preferable, but Farsi is fine too. Regarding velayate faghih, I neither proclaim any expertise nor am I religious. Again, I judge by tangible evidence, and evidence suggests that velayate faghih is simply a complex excuse for dictatorship. So long as government is not secular or democratic, I am not interested. I am not saying that religion has no role in society far from it. But religion has no role in governance, and laws should be civil, not religious. 8220I was talking about bigoted views on women. Prove me wrong.8221 I offer no opinion on the current Iran government8217s view of women (though I will note, as many others have, that the number of women attending college has jumped since the Shah was overthrown). In any case, though, the comparison is easy to the Iranian government that had come before. One needs only to repeat here the Shah8217s jaw-dropping description of women reported by Empty in his post of December 30 at 8:13 PM: 8220Nobody can influence me, nobody. Still less a woman. Women are important in a mans life only if theyre beautiful and charming and keep their femininity and. This business of feminism, for instance. What do feminists want What do you want You say equality. Oh I dont want to seem rude, butYoure equal in the eyes of the law but not, excuse my saying so, in abilityYouve never produced a Michelangelo or a Bach. Youve never even produced a great chef. And if you talk to me about opportunity, all I can say is, are you joking Have you ever lacked the opportunity to give history a great chef Youve produced nothing great, nothing Tell me, how many women capable of governing have you met in the course of your interviews..All I can say is that women, when they govern, are much harsher than men. Much crueler. Much more bloodthirsty. Im citing facts, not opinion. Youre heartless when you have power.8221 Your understanding of Welayate Fagheeh is flawed and the same is true about your knowledge on Imam Khomeini. If you wish, I can introduce books about both for you to read. Thank you for asking a question that is not loaded with hate and anger. Firstly, I would like to point out that I never lived under the Pahlavi regime, so I do not want you to think that I am one of those Iranians who reminisces about 8216the good old days8217. My exposure to the Islamic regime has also been on and off (more recently confined to off, given the current political climate). As a result, I do not represent anyone but myself, and I am not pursuing any particular agenda other than to strengthen and develop my country and people. As you will see from this post, I am happy to critique Iran8217s entire modern history, because I base my judgements on facts and not ideology. You cannot reduce a vastly complex topic to the simple question of choosing between the monarchy and the theocracy. I will very briefly outline what my perspective is on both eras foreign policy: Given the modern context of Mohammad Reza Pahlavis rule, I will only focus on him. The Shah wanted to modernise and strengthen Iran. Given the extreme lack of expertise within Iran (as the Pahlavis ruled over a backward, illiterate nation), he had to look abroad. This obviously made him dependent on foreign powers, but in return he received all the money and expertise he dreamt of. Oil output was huge, the military was powerful, and a nuclear program was being developed. The Shah kept Iraq at bay, and had enough clout in OPEC to almost double the price of oil. I do not know much about his policy on Israel, other than he recognised them and we shared large trade relations. I also know that he openly spoke about the Jewish lobbys control of US politics, and the negative impact they had/have. The Shahs foreign policy was ultimately driven by nationalistic intentions. His foreign relations were generally all positive, and he always portrayed Iran in a way that I agree with (cultured, proud, intelligent and modern). I have said this before, but the fact that he and his officials spoke many languages, were always clean shaven and well presented, makes a huge difference to peoples perceptions of Iran. Regarding his dependence on the US, I speculate that he wanted to take the same path that Turkey is taking now: dependence until one is powerful enough to pursue independence. But, due to naivety and inexperience, he gave the Americans far too many concessions. This relationship also empowered him too much domestically, to the point that he destroyed any legitimate opposition in Iran, leaving behind a power vacuum in which a lying, murderous mullah profited from the peoples dissatisfaction. 2. The Islamic Republic The Islamic Republics foreign policy is spearheaded by the policy of neither East nor West, although the rejection of the West has led to a dependence on the East. But still, this policy effectively envisages self-sufficiency. I have not gauged just how self-sufficient the regime wants Iran to be, considering there is a disparity between words and actions. For example, Ahmadinejad in particular derides capitalism and globalisation, but the regime pushed to join the WTO, and they also obviously oppose the sanctions, despite the fact that sanctions should only enhance their indigenisation policy. They also despise the US, but most elements of the regime are pushing for a normalisation of relations. The regimes foreign policy is ideologically driven more than anything else, although as time goes by it is becoming more rational (the wikileaks cable I linked to earlier suggests this too). This has led to an extreme Israel policy, which has only fed an extreme Israeli Iran policy. This has also led to the support of other ideologically driven states, such as Venezuela, Zimbabwe and North Korea, which are useless and expensive alliances. The regime has generally completely mishandled diplomacy, and portrays Iranians in a way that I disagree with. Diplomats are unshaven, wear shoddy suits, speak undiplomatically, and make many rookie errors (such as sending letters that are full of spelling mistakes). If their attire reflected a national dress, then I would be fine with it. But even their attire is ideologically driven. The regimes foreign policy is also developed by the notion of an Islamic world. Many months ago, kooshy introduced me to a school of thought that basically says that Irans attempt at pan-nationalism has failed, because religion is the key to gaining influence and support. I am sceptical of the long-term success of this policy, but for now it is working, because Iran has tapped into the discontent of the injustices inflicted upon the Islamic world by non-Islamic powers. I might be biased, but I also believe that Iran is culturally the strongest nation in the Islamic world, given our role in the development of the religion itself. I know it will be a pain to read, but please take a look at this article by Abbas Milani to understand how I perceive Irans future role in the Islamic world: tnr/article/world/the-greening-islam All in all, I generally support the regimes policy of independence, although I wholeheartedly reject self-sufficiency. Iran has a right to many things, such as an indigenous nuclear program, and the right not to be singled-out by a supposedly global UN. But, I believe that the regime has completely mishandled their foreign policy, because it is ideologically driven, not pragmatic and naive. Iran cannot simply jump to superpower status by hollow words and reckless actions. It is not like Pirouz2s philosophy of I think hard therefore I am. I have my own theories about the regimes future trajectory under Ahmadinejad, but generally I believe that they have finally understood that neither East nor West will never work. To conclude, I cannot answer your question. I believe that the Shahs dependence on the West was to an extent necessary, but this led to a failure in domestic politics. I also agree with the Shahs world view and how he wanted Iran to be perceived in this world. In theory, I agree with the regimes policy of independence, but I believe that they have made a complete mess of it, because they are stupid, aggressive and ideologically driven. We live in a globalised world where information is instant, where nothing can be hidden from public view, where isolation is incredibly costly, and where interdependence is the ultimate goal. If the regime does not understand this, then we will only continue to see threats, isolation and a lack of development. Quickly, in response to your second point, of course I know that policies will always have opposition. The point is that a nation is supposed to have a functioning civil society where this opposition can be voiced and challenged, not crushed and brushed aside. This function of democracy naturally moderates policy, which Iran definitely needs at the moment. The US needs it too, given the state of its monopolised media. That is why people who say that Iran is a democracy are lying, because if you actually know what democracy is, you will realise that it is not simply elections. It is embracing opposition and criticism through free media, free judiciary, freedom to be politically active, etc etc. The only reason people believe that Professor Lucas work is inciting revolution is because they do not believe in opposition, and because they are also incredibly paranoid. This is actually why any opposition instantly becomes revolutionary, because the regime knows nothing else. This is why M. Ali will painstakingly sieve through articles to identify negative words about Iran, such as unrest. This is why many believe that Professor Lucas work only focuses on Iran, when it does not. This is why Press TV portrays Iran as heaven on earth. Ultimately, this is why the Green Movement was crushed on the streets. (The claims that the movement is violent and radical are a joke, because if it was actually violent and radical we would still be seeing violence and radicalism today. It is not that hard to step outside and set a building alight, or buy a few weapons on the black market and create an armed opposition. And please do not claim that the regime has succeeded in crushing the movement it has only crushed protests. If you follow Iranian politics, you will see that the regime still mentions the Green Movement on a daily basis, and proclaims success while at the same time conceding its existence and influence.) Nima and others, Impressive a job as Nima8217s write-up was, I don8217t think it will have much effect. Skeptical readers will draw one of two conclusions: 1. How do we know all those bomb-predictors weren8217t correct 8212 all the way back to the first one in 1984 Maybe Iran indeed has had a bomb all these years. 2. If all past bomb-predictors have been wrong so far, that may cast some doubt on the credibility of the current bomb-predictors, but not enough to assume they are wrong simply because the earlier ones were. Richard and Arnold, Thanks for the updated information on Wikileaks, though, as you both note, fairly little is known. With the (possible) exception of the one cable Arnold mentioned, I see no reason so far to conclude that Wikileaks has actually 8220published8221 any cables (though Richard notes that it does so after a news organization has already published the cable). This does strike me as an important distinction. If the newspapers had no effective choice but to publish all cables delivered to them by Wikileaks, the distinction would be practically meaningless. But I8217ve not heard of any such threat, and I suspect that Wikileaks would have carried out the threat by now if it had made it. (It seems likely to me that the newspapers have decided not to publish at least a few of the cables that Wikileaks has delivered to them.) One can argue, of course, that delivering secret cables to newspapers amounts to publishing them, even if, as occurred here, the delivering party knows, and explicitly accepts, that the receivers will consult privately with the US government before publishing. Nonetheless, setting aside Wikileaks8217 responsibility, what about the newspapers Are they not hypocritical to condemn Wikileaks when they publish the cables (and, with one or a very few exceptions) Wikileaks does not publish any of them until the newspapers have done so US priorities being challenged in the region 8220It is safe to understand that the reason you are more hostile to Iran than to Egypt is that Iran challenges US priorities in the region especially the US commitment to ensuring Israels security more than Egypt does.8221 It is safe to appreciate there are at least four errors in that sentence: 1) I am not 8220hostile to Iran8221 as a country 2) I am not hostile to Egypt as a country 3) I do not object to US priorities being challenging in the region 4) I do not put any priority on the US commitment to Israel. I would go further but 8212 as the authors of RFI are appealing for money 8212 I do not think it is productive to divert the topic of the thread. James Canning says: How amazing that Americans in that poll dislike Iran even more than they dislike North Korea Graphic confirmation of astounding ignorance and stupidity that is so pervasive in the American public 8211 8211 thanks to relentless propaganda of Israel lobby and its numerous stooges in US Congress. rd. re Shimon Peres declaration that israel cannot survive without its US patron: David Makovsky of WINEP led a delegation of WINEP trustees who are also New York City bankers and venture capitalists, on a trip to Israel last October. He discusses that trip here. In the course of that report, Barbara Slavin asked him if Israel would press the US Senate to sign a formal treaty, allying US and Israel. Makovsky answered, Maybe yes, maybe no: zionists are loathe to ally with anybody that might cramp their freedom of movement and self-determination. otoh, a treaty with US would provide a defensive shield against Iran. But the broader point is, an alliance is in the air. Barbara Slavin does not say these things just to hear herself talk she is laying the groundwork for something. The number of Jewish-led interest groups that is popping us is also worrisome 8212 I mentioned David Frums 8220no labels8221 group earlier today former White House functionary and 8220former8221 friend of Helen Thomas, Lanny Davis, is forming a consultancy with a former AIPAC staffer mondoweiss. net/2010/12/this-is-funny-lanny-davis-called-himself-a-super-lawyer. html J Street, the supposed-8220liberal8221 answer to AIPAC, is only one or two years old but already has a budget in the tens of millions, and is planning a very high-profile conference in Washington this February. today on another blog, an Israeli person commented, 8220what good is wealth when Jews have suffered persecution for all these years.8221 Wealth buys access, that8217s what good wealth is. Ask Haim Saban 8220what good wealth is.8221 in conclusion: CONTRIBUTE TO RACE FOR IRAN. Richard Steven Hack says: December 30, 2010 at 2:31 pm There are also on-going plans and constructions of alternative pipelines to by-pass sthe Straits of Hormuz. Abu Dhabi is plannong on building underground storage tanks for water. Missile defenses are being deployed in Ras Al Tanur and elsewhere for contingency reasons. Military hardware from US is being bought and pre-positioned. I personally think for the Southern Persian Gulf Arabs and for US it is better and chepaer to cut a deal with the Iranians than to continue with their current course. None of these oil-wells-with-flags state will survive a 4 year US-Iran War. In my opinion, the real threat to these ruling houses is the demographic time-bomb (excepting Abu Dhabi but then she might feel the heat from a neighbouring revolutionary state). Given the track record of US policy makers since the Iranian Revolution, I fully expect these types of efforts to blow in their faces as well. What would Americans do if the government of any of these states is overthrown by a Military Junta Iranian says: December 30, 2010 at 2:27 pm I am not disputing that very many Iranians are not unhappy with the Islamic Republic. My point is that harrasment of people by the moral police and the disenfrachisement of sectors of the population based on their outward appearance must be stopped. Only God can Judge who is a True Believer or not. The Government of the Islamic Republic of Iran is intefereing with natural rights of Muslims that are granted to them by God. Rehmat says: December 30, 2010 at 3:19 pm I really do not care about that Garrison Judaism that has pirated the ancient and noble name of Israel and applied it to itself. The facts that I have recounted in my post remain salient shortcomings of an order that calls itself Islamic it must bring people together not alienate them from both religion and the state. Is young women wearing boots against religion If so why Is riding bicylces forbidden to women in Islam They rode horses, donkeys, and mules before. If so why Is women and men in a mixed social setting in private homes any of the business of the state Can you judge the hearts of men because they are wearing a 2-day old beard 8211 or not I hope you will agree with me that both Summayah and Hamzah were Muslims. But there were no Sharia at that time to tell them how to wipe their ass when defecating. And if Abu Sofyan can be a Muslim, I do not understand why the Election Law of Iran essentially brands many Iranian Muslims as 8220non-Muslim8221. Only God can Judge what is in the hearts of men. And as Prophet Jesus stated: 8220Judge not lest ye be Judged.8221 And please, in the future, when you are continuing with your life, remember that you heard all these things from me at this site for the first time. 82208230select what is the best speech..8221 So Pak, If the source is an unnamed 8220Iran watcher8221 in a State Department embassy cable, it8217s gotta be true, right Eric: It depends on your definition of 8220publishing8221 vs 8220releasing8221. The new organizations are 8220publishing8221 the documents to the public after they were 8220released8221 by Wikileaks to those organizations. Wikileaks is itself 8220publishing8221 them as they are 8220published8221 by the media. This might help people: Unfortunately I can8217t see any way on the Wikileaks site to distinguish between cables they 8220released8221 themselves vs cables they are 8220publishing8221 after having been 8220released8221 by the news organizations. I8217m not sure it would useful information in any case absent any details about how or why the cables, if any, were selected for that treatment. I view Arnold8217s notion that Assange is withholding information for some ulterior motive or some agreement with whoever to be speculative at best. Wikileaks has said why they are doing it this way 8211 to allow time for contemplation of the material in small amounts rather than an unworkable 8211 for the news media apparently 8211 single 8220dump8221. The downside of granting this 8220contemplative time8221 to the news media is that, as Arnold correctly notes, the US government is capable of 8220managing8221 the impact of each release. On the other hand, there isn8217t much the US government can do 8211 so far at least 8211 to prevent any further revelations. Perhaps the government hopes that given the slow nature of the release, it can somehow gain control of the entire process and take out Assange and Wikileaks itself in the process. I find this unlikely even if they manage to find some way to charge Assange and/or members of Wikileaks which the violation of some US law. Given the nature of the Internet and hackers, all that would mean is that someone else would take over the process using an even more distributed and covert means of releasing submitted material to the 8220above ground world8221. If you can8217t stop file sharing, you can8217t stop covert release of secret documents. By definition, these documents are coming from insiders and no matter how many get put in jail, there will be others. And if that doesn8217t work, there8217s always the army of Chinese hackers who probably would be happy to find and release this sort of thing themselves and who are quite capable of doing so. There really is no such thing as 8220computer security8221 even at the DOD level, let alone 8220security against terrorists8221, as I frequently argue on Bruce Schneier8217s IT security Web site. So the US had better limit itself to 8220managing8221 the spin in the mainstream media about the documents rather than trying to cut off the flow because they will have no more success at that than NATO has in closing the AfPack border to the Taliban. A New Alliance for Israel We cannot exist alone. Israels national security axiom was acknowledged by President Shimon Peres during an address in November. For our existence we need the friendship of the United States of America, he stressed, adding: It doesn8217t sound easy, but this is the truth. Its not easy for a client-state to admit that its own survival depends on a global patron. It seems, however, that Israeli leaders continue to operate under the illusion that the U. S. remains the paramount power. Perhaps they sofer from ADD. fyi 8211 You must be thinking about the US Israel where millions of people are not allowed to participate in general elections 8211 based on their color and religion. Islamic Republic is the only country in the world which have conducted elections every 4 years even during the 8-year western imposed war. Can you tell us how many Muslim members are in Knesset based on their 1.2 million population or in Congress based on their popolation of 8-11 million In comparison, the 30,000 Iranian Jews have one representative in the Majlis since 1980. Nima Shirazi: Nice work on that article. I8217ve mentioned the point before that the war mongers have been touting Iran actually physically HAVING nuclear weapons for the last twenty five years. This is why I believe the issue has to be resolved before much longer because it will become increasingly ridiculous to believe Iran has a nuclear weapons program when, year after year stretching into decades, THERE IS NO BOMB to be seen. So there is a time limit on the US-Israel propaganda campaign. They have to fish or cut bait especially now that they are actively pursuing the issue and not just issuing general warnings about it. They cannot keep this up another ten or twenty five years and they cannot back down on their claims. Meanwhile, the long range plans for war with Iran continue to be developed, this time by the UK which plans to actively help the UAE repel any Iranian attacks which might 8220damage Western interests in the region8221. 8220This includes regular patrolling of Royal Navy warships across the Persian Gulf and their presence at UAE ports.8221 UK planning to evacuate expats from the Persian Gulf region in the event of war with Iran campaigniran. org/casmii/index. phpqnode/11180 James Canning says: You make a good case for concluding there exists an organized effort for an intentional frightening of the Israeli public, about a currently non-existent Iranian 8220threat8221, so that they pressure Jews in the US to put pressure on foolish American politicians. It8217s pretty clear that the vast majority of Iranians are satisfied with an Islamic Republic. The only people who are facing severe difficulty are those who planned or participated in riots and who tried to steal the election with western support. Your Wide Asleep in America piece is by far the most thorough review of all the 8220any day now8221 predictions of an Iranian bomb 8211 so thorough, ironically, that you8217ve now become obligated to update with new predictions as they come along. Mach weiter so. Eric, wikileaks is being very secretive about its release process. One thing I8217ve noticed is that nobody is asking questions. Meaning Assange finds himself still under attack for releasing too much when from my point of view, wikileaks (including the newpapers) has essentially released nothing at all from the diplomatic cables. There was an interview with Al Jazeerah where he responded to criticisms that nothing has been released that might embarrass Israel. His response was 1) More will be released in the next six months 2) He has 2700 documents originating in Israel even though the cablegate website shows over 5000 documents originating in Israel. But we have seen no explanation from wikileaks about the degree of coordination with the Obama administration taken by wikileaks and the newspapers, what the process of wikileaks coordination with the newspapers or what wikileaks releases on its own, and through what process, if any. My explanation is still that wikileaks stepped out of its league and has been massively outplayed in this case by the US team tasked with preventing any damage to US diplomatic interests with the cable release. Wikileaks has come to some agreements that it rightly is not proud of and now has a release process for these cables that it does not want to be publicly understood. For anyone looking for an outside view of the US diplomatic process, the cablegate release is of no value. I8217m led to believe but I don8217t think I8217ve seen stated directly, that wikileaks released the list of sensitive locations to US security. That is the one document that I8217ve even heard a hint that wikileaks released itself. On the other hand, I8217m following it much less closely now than when I thought it might have value. IranianIran, Liz, Iranian: In spite of these crowds and these photographs, the fact remains that there are millions of people who are prevented, by the Government of the Islamic Republic of Iran, from participating in the political life of their country. Furthermore, in Tehran, you are dealing with people whose religiosity and social mores are not the same of the rest of Iran. In fact, the rest of Iran, with a time lag, emulates Tehran. Moreover, there are people like them all over Iran. This disaffected population cannot be changed to conform to the religiosity and to social and cultural mores of the rest of Iran. Iranian authorities are best advised to accomodate this population. To wit, the Election Law to the Majlis ought to be changed and the moral police disbanded. Otherwise, the political weakness that this population poses to the Islamic Republic will persist. A few weeks back, you referred on your website to some reports that the woman involved in the stoning case was to be released, and to later reports that this had not occurred after all. Can you update us on her status In particular, I8217m curious about the sources of the reports that she was to be released. Race for Iran comes at a crucial time to stop the AIPAC/Neocon insanity of unnecessary war against Iran As the Leveretts and others wrote many times, the current U. S led sanctions against the Islamic Republic are counter productive, the sanctions will not result in a 8221 regime change 8221 nor will they stop Irans growing regional influence. It is therefore in the interest of anyone who opposes a war against Iran to counter this AIPAC/Neocon hype, a hype that may lead to distruction and death around the world ( including the U. S of course ).I hope those who can will make a donation to raceforiran, the time is ticking to stop the AIPAC/Neocon insanity Ps - I find myself in a small dilemma, I want to make a donation but I dont want to use paypal I have boycotted paypal because of paypals boycott on Wikileaks Any solutions on how to make a donation from United Kingdom without using paypal A question for the Leveretts: If you could choose between Egypt being ruled by Sadat/Mubarak 8211 the first of which you8217ve both spoken so approvingly of 8211 or by a democratic leader who could well be as hostile to Israel as Ahmadinejad, which would you choose If you choose Sadat/Mubarak, then is your opposition to attempting regime change in Iran solely on the basis that such a regime change is implausible If Iran could be destabilized to the point that the US could impose a leader like Sadat or Mubarak is feasible, would you then support that Just out of curiosity 8211 if your only choices were the current Islamic republic or the Shah, which would you choose There are some Iranians who would choose the Shah. I wonder if you are one of them. I forget which one, but it was not you, there was a commenter here who believed Iran would be better off if its foreign policy were implemented by a pro-American dictator the way it is in Egypt, Jordan, Saudi Arabia and UAE. Do you agree with that This question is not an accusation. I8217ll believe you if you say you prefer the current regime to the Shah or to Mubarak while you still passionately believe in replacing the current regime with something better. But it is a request for clarification because if you think the Shah or Mubarak are or would be better, then I will see your writings in an entirely different light. Another point I8217d like to raise though, is that any Iranian government that reflects the will of the Iranian people will have domestic opposition. Even if it is a government that meets all of your criteria. The US, as well as people like Scott, will support Iran8217s opposition not to bring about or improve democracy but to destabilize the country and in hopes of ultimately imposing a Shah or a Mubarak. How would you feel about Iranians working with Scott to overthrow an Iranian government that you support Sorry. The post below is directed at Scott, while it quotes Iranian. To Scott I agree. Your governments human rights violations are so extensive at home and abroad that discussing them would take up all of our time. That is a good point from Iranian. You still have not explained your hostility towards Iran, which has far fewer human rights violations and deviations from uniformly applied rule of law than Egypt or than Israel with respect especially to its subject Palestinian population. For example, Israel just detained another Hamas Parliament member. It is impossible to escape the conclusion that your hostility against Iran stems from its not having a pro-Zionist dictatorship the way the countries in the region that you accept better do. Those countries being the US colonies of Egypt, Jordan, Kuwait, Saudia Arabia and UAE 8211 as well as Israel for whose sake the US maintains this colonial relationship. You8217ve said before that you would not favor Iran being restored to control by the pro-American Shah. Your selective denigration of Iran8217s independent regime makes it impossible to believe that. contribute to RACE FOR IRAN. Do it Now here8217s what Flynt and Hillary Leverett are up against: David 8220Axis of Evil8221 Frum and William Glaston were on C Span Washington Journal this morning to wave the banner for their new political 8220movement8221 8212 8220No Labels.8221 They plan to 8220organize8221 at the 8220grassroots level8221 in all 435 congressional districts, with the feel-good soporific message of, 8220C8217mon folks, can8217t we all just get along. Let8217s not divide on Democrat-Republican lines let8217s find common ground, let8217s not demonize, blah blah blah.8221 Frum emphasized that his new organization was really really poor, that the 1000 people that came to the group8217s kick-off event in New York City 8220paid their own way8221, and Galston followed up to say that he and Frum 8220paid their own transportation8221 to speaking events in various cities, and that the organization had spent only about a million dollars in its first, start-up, year. I don8217t know about you in my household, a million dollars/year is serious money. And what Frum failed to say about those sacrificing people who 8220paid their own way to New York City8221 is that many of them are billionaires, like David Morin, co-inventor of Facebook 8212 check it out. nolabels. org/about-us/founding-leaders/page1 One caller to the Frum-Galston C Span event this morning reminded the listening public of the ironic fact that Frum was the author of the 8220Axis of Evil8221 LABEL that plunged the US into a very dangerous situation and cost tremendous amounts of blood and treasure. Frum8217s response was a cat in a litterbox, kicking sand over the dirt of his Axis of Evil output and making it smell good and disappear. Cranking Frum8217s past actions into the statements he made about his new organization and its agenda, it8217s not hard to figure out that the Israel lobby that is Frum8217s first concern is anxious about the gathering strength of Independents, probably also Ron Paul. Having gained control of both the Republican and Democratic parties, the Israel lobby is concerned that someone like Ron Paul, who is not sympathetic to either the Federal Reserve system or to Israel, might cause an erosion in Israeli power in the US. Humanist, thank you for reading my garbled thoughts on a concept that I think is extremely important namely, the structural basis in Israeli culture of the compulsion to have someone to demonize 8212 Haggai Ram8217s words. You can read 8220Iranophobia: The Logic of an Israeli The Logic of an Israeli Obsession,8221 online at scribd/Iranophobia/d/24277607 82308230 8230.. 8211 Let8217s scatter flowers and the Wine, Let8217s fill the cups with spirits of Divine, Let8217s open the heavens and the skies, Let8217s write another destiny blissful in design. When the armies of despair gather storm, To spill the lovers8217 blood en masse or alone, Let8217s abet the saghi, Let8217s unite and combine, Let8217s root out ignorance and let the Truth shine. P. s. All translations are, by design, interpretations. p. s.s. This is one interpretation of Sheykh Hafez Shirazi8217s poem. p. s.s. s. In the spirit of full disclosure, translating 8220if8221 as 8220when8221 was deliberate. Thank you for the excellent website and congratulations for basically being the only American source for accurate information on Iran. With the passage of time, all of your articles over the past year and a half have been proven to be correct and your antagonists have shown themselves as having little knowledge and no credibility. I8217m certain your courage will bear fruit. Re: 8220the subject of Irans geopolitics is and easier issue to discuss and address, then the Irans human rights subject8221 I initially wrote this with reference to the authors of RFI, who have a demonstrated expertise in analysis of the geopolitical and regional situation, drawing from their experience and usually backed with information. Of course, neither the geopolitical and human rights situations are 8220easy8221 to resolve: if only it could be so, we could relax and take some time off from making comments Thank you, Flynt and Hillary, for your amazing work this year. Everyone who regularly reads RaceForIran should contribute (at least) a little something 8211 if not out of obligation, then surely out of appreciation. RFI remains one of the very few sites that is committed to telling the truth about Iran and the deficiencies of US foreign policy relating to the Islamic Republic. The Leveretts8217 voices are not only valuable, but vital. Here8217s to a peaceful New Year, full of truth and justice8230and not just wishful thinking. P. S. Readers of RFI may be interested in this year-ending piece on Wide Asleep in America, outlining three decades of lies that continue to this very day: The Phantom Menace: Fantasies, Falsehoods, and Fear-Mongering about Iran8217s Nuclear Program Persian Gulf says: here is one solution. The Leveretts can put 2-3 links for the advertisement in the right hand side of their website. this is better than asking those who don8217t want to disclose their identity (even for the Leveretts) here. our locations are known though. US military attache in Israel, Lt. Col. Rick Burgess in his farewell address reassures the reporter that the strained relations between the Obama administration and Israels government are like those of husband and wife. Lt. Col. Rick Burgess also confirmed who rules United States in the real sense. He called Iranian President Dr. Ahmadinejad to Adolph Hitler and claimed that Israel and the world were now facing a time like the 1930s when the Nazis came to power. Ahmadinejad returns us to a scenario of the little guy with the moustache of the 1930s. I bet, in order to please his Zionist masters Burgess ignored the fact that it were 150,000 German Jews who served in the Nazi Army and not the Iranians. You quoted The Salem Witch trials can be defined as a moral panic. I dont remember the name of history book where the author believed the Salem Witch Trials were about stealing lands of the victims by greedy landowners. On NIE, I am convinced Iran didnt stop its nuclear weapon program in 2003 but as the Iranian embassador (Khazai) told Charlie Rose never had such a program. I remember reading quite a few articles on how the White House (Cheney) delayed the publication of NIE for months until a compromise was agreed where the intelligence agencies threw in lines implying the nuclear weapon program was there but stopped in 2003. It seems Hillary Mann Leverett also thinks Iran might not be after building any type of WMD. In Amy Goodmans interview she said: 8230.when we look at Iran8230how Iran behaved during Iran-Iraq war in 19808217s8230an eight year war where more than half a million Iranians were killed in part because Saddam Hussein using chemical weapons against them8230..the Iranians decided8230..took a decision82308230we actually know8230..there is archival material 82308230that it shows some of the debate within the Iranian leadership8230..they took a decision not to use chemical weapons back against the Iraqis82308230so we have actually some sense of an ability by Iranians to take some pretty severe hits and to not go first use some unconventional weapons8230.option to use even against its archest foe in 1980s8230. From the Farsi sources I also know about half a dozen other circumstantial clues that Iran is (was) not after any kind of WMD. In one of them I got the idea they rather copy the demeanor of Imam Hossein (the grandson of Mohammad) who fought a large army only with 70 men on his side (dying honorably instead of winning villainously) and adhering to ideas that glorifies martyrdom especially when one is facing an evil enemy. It is interesting Obama in his 2009 Novruz message to Iranians ignored USAs own NIE and indirectly repeated the Israeli line He arrogantly in a lecturing tone implied Iran cannot achieve legitimacy through ..terror and arms8230. Everyone knows by terror he meant the support of Hezbollah and Hammas who are only resistant groups fighting a foreign occupation. And by arms he obviously didnt mean the conventional defensive arsenal but the Tel-Aviv neo-con trumpeted Iranian nuclear weapons ambitions. Anyhow, your commentary was interesting and I learned a few things from it. Vielen Dank. From a wikileak cable regarding an upcoming meeting between the Egyptian Foreign Minister and Sec of State Clinton. The briefing is about Iran and Iraq, among other subjects: 8220President Mubarak enjoys recounting for visiting members of Congress how he warned former President Bush against invading Iraq, ending with, 8220I told you so8221 and a wag of his finger. In addition, there are Egyptian misgivings about Nuri Al-Maliki and Shia majority rule in Iraq. Egypt therefore will need additional prodding to continue to take steps to help rehabilitate Iraq into the greater Arab world. You should ask Aboul Gheit when he plans to fully open the Egyptian embassy in Baghdad and exchange accredited ambassadors with Iraq (the first Egyptian ambassador to post-Saddam Iraq was assassinated). As for Iran, Mubarak has a visceral hatred for the Islamic Republic, referring repeatedly to Iranians as 8220liars,8221 and denouncing them for seeking to destabilize Egypt and the region. He sees the Syrians and Qataris as sycophants to Tehran and liars themselves. There is no doubt that Egypt sees Iran and its greatest long-term threat, both as it develops a nuclear capability and as it seeks to export its 8220Shia revolution.8221 Nonetheless, Mubarak told Mitchell pointedly that he did not oppose the U. S. speaking to the Iranians, as long as we did not 8220believe a single word they say.8221 Aboul Gheit will be keen to hear your description of U. S. intentions towards Iran. In his conversation with Senator Mitchell, Aboul Gheit carefully noting he was speaking personally, expressed more interest into bringing the Syrians into negotiations again President Mubarak was not enthusiastic about dealing with the Syrians at this time.8221 Thanks for the links, and have a safe trip Scott Lucas To the contrary, I write about geopolitical and regional matters and US foreign policy every day and would be pleased to chat with you about any specific topic you would like to raise. Scott thanks a bunch for your reply, I thought my original question to you was clear, maybe I should be clearer, here we go, I asked, if you can expand on your insertion and explain, why you think that the subject of Irans geopolitics is and easier issue to discuss and address, then the Irans human rights subject, that clearly you are more interested on, and if true, then why the US for nearly thirty two years has failed to effectively contain Irans regional soft power gains. I belive this is a good and fair opening question for kind of discussions, that this site is setup to address, and who better then you to start this discussion, maybe we all can learn on why and how US policies on Iran since the revolution of 79 have continually failed, and what would make sense looking forward. Here is confirmation 8211 straight from the horse8217s mouth 8211 of a couple of rumours that are often aggressively refuted by regime apologists: 8220An open acknowledgment by xxxxxxxxxxxx that the IRGC is present and operating in both Afghanistan and Iraq82308221 8220Yahya Rahim Safavi stressed that, unlike 8220a few years ago, under Khatami,8221 the IRGC plays a central and preeminent role in the Iranian government82308221 Several days ago Rehmat mentioned Haggai Ram8217s 8220Iranophobia,8221 and posted a link to an article by Ira Chernus (iirc) that discussed Ram8217s thesis. The Chernus article was adequate but did not do justice to the complexity of Haggai Ram8217s very important book. The first two of the three reviews of 8220Iranophobia8221 that can be found on Amazon are much better than the Chernus article. I8217ve been struggling to grasp the main thread of 8220Iranophobia8221 and read much of the book at least twice. Things finally fell into place when I did background research on 8220moral panic,8221 one of the key sociological theories employed by Prof. Ram, a professor in the social sciences at Ben Gurion University. 8220Moral panic8221 is a theory developed by British social scientist Stanley Cohen, who devised the concept in Great Britain in 1972 as a way to understand the behavior of British 8220rockers8221 and protesters. kgsepg/project-id/1805-folk-devils-and-moral-panics 8220moral panic occurs when 8220a condition, episode, person or group of persons emerges to become defined as a threat to societal values and interests.8221 Those who start the panic when they fear a threat to prevailing social or cultural values are known by researchers as 8220moral entrepreneurs8221, while people who supposedly threaten the social order have been described as 8220folk devils.8221 The Salem Witch trials can be defined as a 8220moral panic.8221 The young girls caught frolicking in the woods embody the 8220threat8221 to the righteous norms of societal values. They become labelled as 8220folk devils,8221 also to be understood as scapegoats, for they will be punished to cleanse the society of the insult to its 8220righteousness.8221 8220Moral entrepreneurs8221 are 8220knowledge producers8221 who drive the discourse that expresses the outrage and labels the folk devil. Norman Finkelstein has written and spoken quite forcefully on the paradox of the situation in which the 2007 National Intelligence Estimate concluded that Iran was NOT attempting to build a nuclear weapon, and every state in the world reacted with relief, except for Israel. Haggai Ram expands on Finkelstein8217s observation, reporting that just as the 2007 NIE was released, Israel mailed to its Jewish citizens extensive instructions on how to protect themselves against an attack. In addition, Ram notes the response to the NIE of Israel8217s Channel 10 television news political correspondent Chico Menahem: 8220We did not imagine that the blow on Israel would be so severe and so painful.8221 Ram explains the seeming absurdity of this reaction by recounting that in Israel, Iran is likened to an armed rapist who is observed climbing the eaves toward a young girl on the third floor. 8220But they8217re still not sure, and are careful to remark that it is certainly possible he is climbing up to suntan on the roof.8221 In this (lengthy) passage from the postscript to 8220Iranophobia,8221 (pp. 122-124), Prof. Ram connects the purpose of his book, and core concepts of 8220moral panic8221 as it applies to the perception of post-1979 Iran in the minds of Israeli Jews: The debate over Iran8217s nuclear program has certainly not run its course, and it does not seem likely that it will in the foreseeable future. And yet this book has not engaged directly with the issue of Iran8217s nuclear threat. Rather, this book has been primarily concerned with the ways in which Israel8217s obsession with Iran can help in deciphering the inner dynamics of Israeli society, culture, and politics. As I have demonstrated in this book, this obsession is not simply a product of 8220objective8221 security concerns or of a strategic rivalry between these two states. Nor is it purely a derivative of perceived cultural differences between Iran and Israel. It is most prominently linked to Israeli defensive mechanisms of the home in view of the peril of the Jewish state becoming foreign and unrecognizable to itself. At the same time, this obsession should be examined within the context of Israel8217s repertoires of violence in the post-9/11 world. 8220Paradoxically. the articulation of danger is 8216not a threat to the state8217s identity or existence it is its condition of possibility.8217 The articulation of danger is therefore essential for the maintenance and preservation of state hegemony. This explains, in part, why the Jewish state has gone out of its way to blow up the extent of Iran8217s threat to its existence. However, in this book I have not limited myself to describing the rhetorical construction of Iran as a threat. Rather, my main goal has been to penetrate these rhetorical utterances and thereby to lay bare the conceptual mainstays of Israel8217s construction of Iran as a 8216known rapist.8217 8220Indeed, the evolution of Israel8217s attitudes toward pre - and post-1979 Iran was tightly linked to values and constructs that were neither invented nor controlled by the state8217s decision makers. Iran was not instantaneously accessible to the latter. To 8220create8221 Iran, to render her meaningful to Israelis, it was first of all necessary for these decision makers to draw on a prior repertoire of domestic images. Although monarchical and Islamic republican Iran have held pride of place in Israel8217s foreign policy considerations, these considerations were first and foremost reliant on a complex and multilayered system of images and representations that imbued Iran and its peoples with particular meanings and which resonated with the commonsense world of many an Israeli Jew. 8220Nor were these meanings produced as part of a malevolent scheme of one sort or another. Moral panic is not necessarily the product of conspiratorial designs. It does not require a coordinating center, and it is organized and carried out by different social agents such as the state, elites, and the media, as well as by the spontaneous activity of grassroots movements. In addition, moral panic is almost invariably joined by academic and non-academic experts who, by providing commentaries and forecasts, play a key role in the incitement of hostility toward particular groups. It is a spontaneous and disorderly process that, althoug rooted in prior structures, is. neither objectively determined nor a product of free will. In the final analysis, moral panic is induced through various sets of texts, each with its own links and biases, that interlace with and transform each other in ways that, though unpremeditated, are never wholly arbitrary. 8220To present as thick a description as possible of the complex process in which Iran was singled out as an alien 8216folk devil,8217 I included in a single analytic framework the positions of a plethora of knowledge-producers (or 8216moral entrepreneurs8217) in the Israeli public sphere 8212 from statesmen and politicians through appointed officials, state emissaries, and various experts to representatives from the media and the cultural field. Even though such a motley group can hardly be assimilated into one category, it is evidence that in their understandings of Iran (and of themselves) they shared a 8220lifeworld8221 of 8220culturally transmitted and linguistically organized stock of interpretative patterns.8221 This lifeworld8211or 8220shared mythological horizon82218211was rooted in the 8220epistemological imperialism of the West,8221 which meant that they continued to carry the conceptual impositions and exactions of colonialism.8221 In my opinion, Ram8217s understanding of the coordination among the 8220plethora8221 of 8220moral entrepreneurs8221 of moral panic is underdeveloped. As I am typing this long, long comment, an episode of TV series 8220NCIS8221 is in the background. The 8220bad guy8221 is a Muslim/Arab/Middle Eastern terrorist who is being lectured on the evil of his ways and of the 822072 virgins8221 motivation by red-blooded American he-men and he-women. Ram needs to form a relationship between propaganda/hasbara and moral panic. btw, are you aware that the United States has created a unit that produces television series for Afghanis constructed around the standard team of good cops. The purpose is persuade Afghanis to trust and cooperate with the police that US is training to control Afghani society. This is no 8220disorderly and spontaneous process,8221 Prof. Ram. Finally, the elements of moral panic are not exclusive to Israel, they dominate US foreign policy 8220moral entrepreneurs8221 as well. Yesterday, one such moral entrepreneur, Michael Auslin, Japan specialist at the American Enterprise Institute, discussed US policy toward North Korea. Count the number of times Auslin says 8220punish,8221 and see if you recognize this template: 8220We know best8221 8220China needs to get with the program8221 8220N. Korea needs to change its behavior8221 8220N Korea can have a better future if. 8221 :c-spanvideo. org/program/PeninsulaTe What three American writers, Jeff Gates, Gordon Duff and John Perkins, have in common They all fear the assassination of President Barack Obama unless he keeps dancing on the orders of the groups which hold strings of power in the so-called worlds model democray. You can also put in a request over at Hardblogger. Ask Matthews or his team to have Flynt Leverett on his program. I am also pushing for Prof Cole to be on his program. Richard Engel was really pushing the idea that Arab leaders really want the U. S. to attack Iran. Zogby really nailed it at the end of the Chris Matthews, Engel, Zogby interview. Voice of Tehran says: sorry Eric. I did not intend to bother anyone with my 8216 problem 8216. To donate 250 is a very small part I can do to contribute to this valuable Blog . As mentioned I can get any amount of brand new US dollar bills at any money exghanger in Tehran and there are hundreds of them here. it is a matter of a few minutes. Transferring the money to the US is the main problem and I am afraid it is impoossible from here. since about 4 years ( I think when the US imposed the first round of sanciton on us ). Auf jeden Fall. I will transfer the moeny next time I am abroad. Thank you in deed for your anticipation. Mona El-Ghobashy looks into 8220The Liquidation of Egypt8217s Illiberal Experiment,8221 now in Middle East Report Online: merip. org/mero/mero122910.html 8220The winter 2010 Egyptian parliamentary elections defied expectations, not because President Husni Mubarak8217s party will once again dominate the national assembly, but because of the lengths to which the regime was willing to go to ensure its monopoly. Ballot boxes were stuffed, polling places barricaded and voters denied entry 8212 all in a return to the shameless, flagrant cheating of yore. If British colonial officials ended Egypt8217s 8220liberal experiment8221 in 1936, one might say the Mubarak cabal has halted the illiberal experiment, a second, less substantive venture into parliamentary politics. The main questions are two: Why did the regime dispense with its image-enhancing smidgen of legislative opposition And where does this turn of events leave the opposition, as the country undergoes aggressive economic transformation and much of Egyptian society rebels8221 To say I don8217t appreciate the hypocrisy of our Western government8217s portrayal of Egypt is a vast understatement. Once again, it is important to understand the historical role of the 8216liberal experiment8217 to properly recognize the Islamist movement which replaced it. kooshy says: December 29, 2010 at 11:02 am Mr. Hill is behind times. No Iran-US settlement is possible. Look for Iran to sanction Afdghanistan and make life more difficult for the NATO states there.
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